Abstract

Objective

To develop a budgetary impact analysis regarding the possibility of offering complete upper and lower dentures to an eligible population of elderly people (above 65 years) in the São Paulo state, Brazil.

Methods

The proportion of eligible population was calculated by assessing the prevalence of edentulous (upper and lower arch) and by defining the eligible group (public health system users). The budgetary impact analysis was designed under the following scenario: 5-year time horizon (2018-2022), prospect of municipal expenses with prostheses, and additional progressive incorporation of technology (upper and lower dentures) at an annual rate of 10%, 15%, 20%, 25%, and 30%. Sensibility analysis was performed in 3 different situations (reference, more pessimistic, and more optimistic) based on the calculation of spending through assessed demand and epidemiological demand.

Results

The municipal cost for each denture, already discounted the value transferred by the union for this procedure, was R$50.97. The incremental impact on the budget measured by the epidemiological demand relative to assessed demand was approximately R$59 141 510 over 5 years, meaning an impact of 0.08% (0.01% more optimistic; 0.13% more pessimistic) of the “medium and high complexity care” budget and 0.09% (0.03%-0.14%) of the primary care budget.

Conclusion

The budgetary impact of increasing the oral rehabilitation with complete dentures for elderly population in the São Paulo state is low relative to the expenses with primary or specialized care budgets. In addition, incorporation of denture rehabilitation would be feasible, according to the financial availability and priorities of each municipality.