Impact of Censoring Rules on Q-Twist Analysis and Challenges in Oncology Research: A Simulation Study

Author(s)

Antony G1, Lai F2, Boklage S3, Vincent V4
1GSK, Newcastle Upon tyne, NT, UK, 2GSK, London, Greater London, UK, 3GSK, Collegeville, PA, USA, 4GSK, Bangalore, Karnataka, India

OBJECTIVES: Recently, quality-adjusted time without symptoms or toxicity (Q-TWiST) analysis has been considered a valuable decision-making tool to assess risk-benefit trade-offs and treatment impacts. The objective of this analysis is to focus on Q-TWiST methodology and the challenges in performing the analysis in oncology trials.

METHODS: Toxicity (TOX), progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) data were simulated by assuming an adverse event (AE) duration that follows a log-normal distribution and time-to-progression and time-to-death events that come from the family of Weibull distributions. Parameters were selected such that simulated survival times reflected those observed in immune-oncology trials. The three health states, TOX, TWiST and relapse (REL), were calculated using the area under the Kaplan-Meier curves. Two censoring rules for TOX (no censoring vs PFS censoring) were considered and the impact studied. Q-TWiST was calculated using utility values of 0.5 for TOX, 1 for TWiST and 0.5 for REL. The restricted mean survival time (RMST) was estimated for all health states for varying proportions (80%, 60%, 40%, 20%) of subjects with an AE and progression events. A total of 36 scenarios were explored and the trends in Q-TWiST were studied using 1000 simulations for each scenario with 200 patients per sample.

RESULTS: Considering the two censoring rules, no-censoring resulted in a smaller value for TOX and a larger Q-TWiST compared with PFS censoring. As the proportion of subjects with AEs increased, the variation in Q-TWiST between the two censoring rules increased. However, as PFS events increased, the variation reduced.

CONCLUSIONS: Q-TWiST analysis is a valuable tool for health authorities to support cancer treatment evaluation. The censoring rule for TOX could have an impact in the resultant Q-TWiST. Sufficient follow-up and data maturity are crucial in Q-TWiST and provide greater stability of estimates. Further research into generalizable goodness of fit is warranted.

Conference/Value in Health Info

2024-11, ISPOR Europe 2024, Barcelona, Spain

Value in Health, Volume 27, Issue 12, S2 (December 2024)

Code

MSR106

Disease

No Additional Disease & Conditions/Specialized Treatment Areas, Oncology

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