Identification & Use of Prognostic Variables (PVs)/Treatment Effect Modifiers (TEMs) in Indirect Treatment Comparisons (ITCs) By Systematic Literature Review (SLR): Case Study of Chimeric Antigen Receptor (CAR) T-Cell Therapies

Author(s)

Igbelina CD1, Campden R2, Grieve S3, Thakur D4
1Cytel Inc., Vancouver, BC, Canada, 2Cytel Inc., Calgary, AB, Canada, 3Cytel Inc., Montreal, QC, Canada, 4Cytel Inc., Toronto, ON, Canada

OBJECTIVES: ITCs estimate relative treatment effects not compared in head-to-head trials. According to the assumption of transitivity, trials must be comparable on factors including PVs/TEMs; however, these are not always consistently identified.

METHODS: An SLR was conducted across three databases (Embase, MEDLINE, CDSR) to identify ITCs including CAR T-cell therapies. Data on the indication, intervention, identification, PVs/TEMs, and sensitivity analyses were summarized. Abstracts were considered if no associated full-text articles were identified.

RESULTS: 687 publications were identified; 30 ITCs (14 abstracts, 16 articles) on seven hematological malignancies met the inclusion criteria. Five therapies (with overlap between studies) were evaluated: tisagenlecleucel (12), axicabtagene (9), ciltacabtagene (9), lisocabtagene (8), and idecabtagene (5). Most abstracts (71% of 14) did not report how PVs/TEMs were identified, while full-text publications included varied descriptions. PVs/TEMs were identified by statistical ranking (31%), literature review and clinical experts (19%), not reported (19%), clinical experts (13%), or literature review (6%). There was heterogeneity in PVs/TEMs within the same indication and among ITCs evaluating the same CAR-Ts. Common variables between studies included age (22), ECOG status (13), and prior stem-cell transplant (12). Among seven ITCs in RRMM, two ITCs adjusted for sex, and one ITC each adjusted for creatine clearance, extramedullary disease, and race. There was no overlap in PVs/TEMs among seven ITCs in DLBCL (including two ITCs comparing lisocabtagene to tisagenlecleucel; four ITCs comparing axicabtagene to lisocabtagene). Sensitivity analysis may account for the variable use of different PVs/TEMs between studies; however, less than half of the ITCs (13/30) reported sensitivity analysis.

CONCLUSIONS: This case study identified a lack of transparency in the identification of PVs/TEMs and inconsistencies in the ways PVs/TEMs are incorporated into ITCs. There is a need for guidance on the identification of PVs/TEMs which would reduce bias in the ITC results and increase confidence in decision-making.

Conference/Value in Health Info

2023-11, ISPOR Europe 2023, Copenhagen, Denmark

Value in Health, Volume 26, Issue 11, S2 (December 2023)

Code

CO14

Topic

Clinical Outcomes

Topic Subcategory

Comparative Effectiveness or Efficacy

Disease

Drugs, Oncology

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