Evaluating EU-HTA PICO Exercise Outcomes: Duration of Response and Time to Response in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Using Randomization-Preserving Methods with IMbrave150 Data

Author(s)

Aino K. Launonen, MSc1, Ali Jaffer, PhD2, Rossella Belleli, MA, MPH1, Michael Seo, PhD1, marie-helene Li, PhD3, marie-helene blanchetzumofen, PhD1, Mirjam Sibbe, PhD1.
1F Hoffman-La Roche, Ltd, Basel, Switzerland, 2F Hoffman-La Roche, Ltd, Welwyn, United Kingdom, 3Genentech, South San Francisco, CA, USA.
OBJECTIVES: The European Commission's PICO exercises identified Duration of Response (DoR) and Time to Response (TTR) as key outcomes in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Traditional DoR and TTR analyses in the responder subgroup lack causal interpretation and compromise the intention-to-treat (ITT) principles. We assessed the applicability of randomization-preserving methods for DoR and TTR in HCC using IMbrave150 data.
METHODS: We applied randomization-preserving methods to updated data from the IMbrave150 study, independently of patients' response. For DoR, Restricted Mean DoR (RMDoR) was estimated over 23 months. For TTR, Cumulative Incidence Functions (CIF) was applied to estimate cumulative response rates at 3 months and time to reach a 10% response rate.
RESULTS: In the IMbrave150 trial, traditional median DoR among responders had been reported as 18.1 for atezolizumab plus bevacizumab (atezo+bev) vs 14.9 months for sorafenib (sora) (Kudo et al., 2023). The treatment difference in RMDoR among all patients was 3.02 months (95% CI: 1.88-4.14), indicating a benefit for atezo+bev of approximately 3 months over Sora. For TTR , the 3-month cumulative response rate for atezo+bev was 17% (13%-21%) vs. 5.6% (2.6%-10%) for Sora; time to 10% response was 2.6 months in the atezo+bev arm vs. 4.1 months in the sora arm.
CONCLUSIONS: The importance of DoR in HCC for EU HTA is underscored by its inclusion in the PICO exercise. Although traditional methods better describe DoR among responders, they lack causal interpretation. Randomization-preserving methods were able to show the benefit of atezo+bev in terms of longer DoR and faster TTR among all patients. Our analysis suggests that RMDoR may have utility in answering PICO questions while preserving the ITT principle. Prespecification of the used time intervals and thresholds is crucial.

Conference/Value in Health Info

2025-11, ISPOR Europe 2025, Glasgow, Scotland

Value in Health, Volume 28, Issue S2

Code

CO103

Topic

Clinical Outcomes, Health Technology Assessment, Methodological & Statistical Research

Topic Subcategory

Comparative Effectiveness or Efficacy

Disease

Oncology

Your browser is out-of-date

ISPOR recommends that you update your browser for more security, speed and the best experience on ispor.org. Update my browser now

×