The Burden of Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease (MASLD) and Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatohepatitis (MASH) in the US: A Total System Value Evidence Framework
Author(s)
Riku Ota, MBA, MSPH1, Alice Bedwell, MSc2, Fotis Tefos, Msc3, Tobias Weitzel, MSc3, Thomas Edward Padgett, MSc, PhD4, Carrie Fidler, BSc, PhD2.
1Global Payer Evidence Lead, Novo Nordisk A/S, Brøndby, Denmark, 2HEOR Ltd, Bicester, United Kingdom, 3Novo Nordisk A/S, Søborg, Denmark, 4HEOR Ltd, Cardiff, United Kingdom.
1Global Payer Evidence Lead, Novo Nordisk A/S, Brøndby, Denmark, 2HEOR Ltd, Bicester, United Kingdom, 3Novo Nordisk A/S, Søborg, Denmark, 4HEOR Ltd, Cardiff, United Kingdom.
OBJECTIVES: Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), where lipids accumulate in the liver, may progress to metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH), a disease stage characterised by liver inflammation and progressive damage. We aimed to develop an evidence framework to characterise MASLD/MASH from a total system perspective in the US, encompassing clinical, societal and economic consequences.
METHODS: Ovid/PubMed searches were conducted to identify evidence across the MASLD/MASH spectrum, including epidemiology, pathophysiology, cardiometabolic comorbidities, outcomes (clinical, societal and economic) and healthcare resource use. Evidence was categorised and connected to visually represent how MASLD/MASH impacts the wider system. A qualitative assessment of the strength of the evidence was conducted to identify uncertainty and evidence gaps. The framework was validated by clinical experts.
RESULTS: In our novel framework, disease prevalence, staging and progression (measured invasively [biopsy-determined ‘F-stage’] and non-invasively [e.g. FIB-4 scoring]), risk factors (e.g., metabolic syndrome, age, sex), hepatic (hepatocellular carcinoma, liver transplant, cardiovascular events) and non-hepatic outcomes, were connected to form a system. Clinical features were linked to outcomes to enable value-mapping and the illustration of disease burden- from the perspectives of multiple stakeholders: patients (quality of life, mortality), society (indirect costs, including informal care, absenteeism/presenteeism), healthcare providers (direct costs, resource use), and the environment. The quality of evidence was heterogenous, ranging from meta-analyses to single, small studies. Underdiagnosis of MASH creates uncertainty in terms of total prevalence, disease stage prevalence and burden. High-quality evidence related to risk of some clinical outcomes (e.g., transplant, complications), but limited evidence was available to correlate progression with other outcomes (e.g., quality of life, productivity).
CONCLUSIONS: A qualitative framework of disease elements and outcomes can be constructed, notwithstanding data limitations. The MASLD/MASH qualitative evidence framework is a useful tool to visualise the complex connections between disease features and outcomes, identify value drivers, support economic modelling and to inform evidence generation needs.
METHODS: Ovid/PubMed searches were conducted to identify evidence across the MASLD/MASH spectrum, including epidemiology, pathophysiology, cardiometabolic comorbidities, outcomes (clinical, societal and economic) and healthcare resource use. Evidence was categorised and connected to visually represent how MASLD/MASH impacts the wider system. A qualitative assessment of the strength of the evidence was conducted to identify uncertainty and evidence gaps. The framework was validated by clinical experts.
RESULTS: In our novel framework, disease prevalence, staging and progression (measured invasively [biopsy-determined ‘F-stage’] and non-invasively [e.g. FIB-4 scoring]), risk factors (e.g., metabolic syndrome, age, sex), hepatic (hepatocellular carcinoma, liver transplant, cardiovascular events) and non-hepatic outcomes, were connected to form a system. Clinical features were linked to outcomes to enable value-mapping and the illustration of disease burden- from the perspectives of multiple stakeholders: patients (quality of life, mortality), society (indirect costs, including informal care, absenteeism/presenteeism), healthcare providers (direct costs, resource use), and the environment. The quality of evidence was heterogenous, ranging from meta-analyses to single, small studies. Underdiagnosis of MASH creates uncertainty in terms of total prevalence, disease stage prevalence and burden. High-quality evidence related to risk of some clinical outcomes (e.g., transplant, complications), but limited evidence was available to correlate progression with other outcomes (e.g., quality of life, productivity).
CONCLUSIONS: A qualitative framework of disease elements and outcomes can be constructed, notwithstanding data limitations. The MASLD/MASH qualitative evidence framework is a useful tool to visualise the complex connections between disease features and outcomes, identify value drivers, support economic modelling and to inform evidence generation needs.
Conference/Value in Health Info
2025-11, ISPOR Europe 2025, Glasgow, Scotland
Value in Health, Volume 28, Issue S2
Code
P5
Topic
Epidemiology & Public Health, Health Policy & Regulatory, Study Approaches
Topic Subcategory
Public Spending & National Health Expenditures
Disease
Diabetes/Endocrine/Metabolic Disorders (including obesity), Gastrointestinal Disorders