Is the IRA Drug Price Negotiation an Evidence-Based Practice? A Critical Analysis of the Evidence Reviewed by CMS for IRA Drug Price Negotiations and Implications for Future Submissions

Author(s)

Dan Gratie, MS, PharmD1, Jiawei Chen, PharmD1, Amy Wu, PharmD1, Sarah Bandy, RPh, PharmD, PhD1, Patrick K. Hopkinson, MBA, DPhil2, Cristina Masseria, PhD, MSc1, Sissi Pham, PharmD1;
1AESARA, Chapel Hill, NC, USA, 2PHTA Consulting Ltd, Wokingham, United Kingdom
OBJECTIVES: Justifications for prices of the first 10 drugs selected in Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) Drug Price Negotiation Program have been released by Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS). The objective of this study was to analyze references utilized in the initial CMS reports to provide insights into how future drug negotiations may be conducted.
METHODS: References from CMS' maximum fair price (MFP) explanations were catalogued to identify real-world evidence (RWE), cost-effectiveness analyses (CEAs), network meta-analyses (NMAs), and indirect treatment comparisons (ITCs). Titles and abstracts were screened to further categorize studies by country of origin, study sponsor, and inclusion of Medicare-specific data sources.
RESULTS: A total of 1,824 select references were submitted by CMS across 10 MFP justification reports. As an illustrative example, CMS cited the following for its MFP explanation for apixaban: 14 ITCs/NMAs, 65 CEAs, and 90 RWE studies; 60% of these were conference abstracts. The majority (62.5%; 105/168) were pharmaceutical industry-sponsored studies. Of the CEAs cited by CMS for apixaban, 91.0% (59/65) came from countries outside the United States (US) and the majority (75%) utilized quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) in their results. Nearly a third (28.0%, 25/90) of the RWE studies originated from ex-US countries. Among the US-based RWE studies, 76.4% (55/72) utilized Medicare data.
CONCLUSIONS: This analysis shows that CMS seems willing to leverage economic models, and specifically studies reporting QALYs despite challenges in the US, as well as ex-US RWE, as part of their MFP justification. CMS’ openness to QALY-based economic evaluations may prompt manufacturers to publish CEAs from multiple countries to establish a consistent evidence base of value for money. Additionally, conducting RWE studies ex-US may help proactively build evidentiary base that may be leveraged in future CMS negotiations.

Conference/Value in Health Info

2025-05, ISPOR 2025, Montréal, Quebec, CA

Value in Health, Volume 28, Issue S1

Code

HPR75

Topic

Health Policy & Regulatory

Topic Subcategory

Insurance Systems & National Health Care, Pricing Policy & Schemes

Disease

No Additional Disease & Conditions/Specialized Treatment Areas

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