Economic Evaluation of Neoadjuvant-Adjuvant Versus Adjuvant-Only Pembrolizumab in Resectable Melanoma
Author(s)
Mingjun Rui, MSc, Qiran Wei, MSc, YINGCHENG WANG, MSc, Joyce You, PharmD.
The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.
The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.
OBJECTIVES: Patients with resectable stage III-IV melanoma have a high risk of recurrence. The S1801 trial showed that neoadjuvant plus adjuvant pembrolizumab improved event-free survival when compared to adjuvant therapy alone. The economic value of this approach remains uncertain. This study aimed to assess the cost-effectiveness of neoadjuvant plus adjuvant pembrolizumab versus adjuvant-only pembrolizumab from the U.S. third-party payer perspective.
METHODS: A six-state Markov model was designed to simulate clinical and economic outcomes in patients with stage IIIB to IVC melanoma amenable to surgical resection. Neoadjuvant-adjuvant group received three doses of pembrolizumab (200 mg intravenously every 3 weeks) before surgery, followed by 15 doses after surgery. Adjuvant-only group received 18 doses of pembrolizumab (200 mg every 3 weeks) after surgery. Health states included event-free, local recurrence, locoregional metastasis, distant metastasis, post-progression, and death. Clinical inputs were based on published clinical findings. The model time horizon was 40 years, with weekly cycles to estimate long-term outcomes including direct medical costs and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs). Costs and utilities were derived from published literature. A 3% annual discount rate was applied. One-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were conducted to evaluate the robustness of base-case results.
RESULTS: In base-case analysis, the neoadjuvant plus adjuvant strategy gained incremental 2.95 QALYs with cost saving of USD 53,865 when compared to the adjuvant-only strategy. At a willingness-to-pay threshold of USD 50,000 per QALY, no influential factor with threshold value was identified by one-way sensitivity analysis. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis showed the neoadjuvant plus adjuvant strategy was cost-effective in a 100% of 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations across WTP thresholds ranging from USD 0 to 100,000 per QALY.
CONCLUSIONS: Neoadjuvant plus adjuvant pembrolizumab is a cost-effective strategy compared to adjuvant-only pembrolizumab for patients with resectable stage IIIB-IVC melanoma who undergo surgery, from a U.S. third-party payer perspective.
METHODS: A six-state Markov model was designed to simulate clinical and economic outcomes in patients with stage IIIB to IVC melanoma amenable to surgical resection. Neoadjuvant-adjuvant group received three doses of pembrolizumab (200 mg intravenously every 3 weeks) before surgery, followed by 15 doses after surgery. Adjuvant-only group received 18 doses of pembrolizumab (200 mg every 3 weeks) after surgery. Health states included event-free, local recurrence, locoregional metastasis, distant metastasis, post-progression, and death. Clinical inputs were based on published clinical findings. The model time horizon was 40 years, with weekly cycles to estimate long-term outcomes including direct medical costs and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs). Costs and utilities were derived from published literature. A 3% annual discount rate was applied. One-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were conducted to evaluate the robustness of base-case results.
RESULTS: In base-case analysis, the neoadjuvant plus adjuvant strategy gained incremental 2.95 QALYs with cost saving of USD 53,865 when compared to the adjuvant-only strategy. At a willingness-to-pay threshold of USD 50,000 per QALY, no influential factor with threshold value was identified by one-way sensitivity analysis. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis showed the neoadjuvant plus adjuvant strategy was cost-effective in a 100% of 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations across WTP thresholds ranging from USD 0 to 100,000 per QALY.
CONCLUSIONS: Neoadjuvant plus adjuvant pembrolizumab is a cost-effective strategy compared to adjuvant-only pembrolizumab for patients with resectable stage IIIB-IVC melanoma who undergo surgery, from a U.S. third-party payer perspective.
Conference/Value in Health Info
2025-09, ISPOR Real-World Evidence Summit 2025, Tokyo, Japan
Value in Health Regional, Volume 49S (September 2025)
Code
RWD42
Topic Subcategory
Distributed Data & Research Networks
Disease
SDC: Oncology