OBJECTIVES: COVID-19 had an impact on health care, including diagnostics. Early diagnosis of MM is a critical factor for prognosis. We examined the impact of COVID-19 on incidence of NDMM patients and on characteristics in NDMM patients in US and in Germany.

METHODS: 44,164 NDMM patients were identified in TriNetX federated network across 55 healthcare organizations in US between January 2018 and December 2021. A bivariate analysis examined changes in patient characteristics in two cohorts before (Cohort 1; n=25513) and after (Cohort 2; n=18.651) the start of the COVID-19 pandemic in March 2020. 4172 NDMM patients were identified in the German database in a sample of across >100 healthcare organizations in the same time period. Similarly, bivariate analysis examined changes in patient characteristics before (Cohort 1; n=2252) and after (Cohort 2; n=1920) the start of pandemic.

RESULTS: Analysis of US data showed a significant decrease in incidence of NDMM. Bivariate analysis revealed that NDMM patients in Cohort 2 have a significantly higher risk profile compared with patients in Cohort 1, higher incidence of renal failure (13.5% v. 15.43%), heart failure (10.3% v 11.26%), bone lesions (12.6% v. 13.05%) and anemia (26.8% v. 29.75%). The German data indicated an increased risk profile in Cohort 2, with higher reporting of renal impairment (12.3% v. 15.5%) and cardiac impairment (8.3% v. 10.9%). The higher risk profile was reflected in a significant increase of all SLiM-CRAB criteria, notably hypercalcemia (24.1 % v. 36.9%), bone marrow plasma cell infiltration (28.1% v. 36.8%) and free light chain involvement (27.3% v. 41.3%).

CONCLUSIONS: The results provide real-world evidence of a change in risk profile for patients with NDMM during COVID-19. This higher risk profile is observed in both the US and Germany, and may negatively impact outcomes such as progression-free and five-year overall survival.