A COST-EFFECTIVENESS ANALYSIS OF A PROPHYLACTIC CERVICAL CANCER VACCINE IN GERMANY- RESULTS FROM A HEALTH ECONOMIC MODEL

Author(s)

Thomas Hammerschmidt, PHD, Manager Health Economics1, Uwe Siebert, MPH, MSc, Prof. Dr2, Tino F. Schwarz, MD, Professor3, Achim Schneider, MD, Professor4, Raina M Rogoza, MSc, Research Analyst5, Nicole Ferko, MSc, Research Analyst, Health Economics6, Robert Welte, PhD, MPH, MSc, Manager11GlaxoSmithKline, Munich, Germany; 2 UMIT – University for Health Sciences, Medical Informatics and Technology, Hall i. T, Austria; 3 Stiftung Juliusspital, Würzburg, Germany; 4 Charité, Berlin, Germany; 5 i3 Innovus, Burlington, Ontario, Canada; 6 Innovus Research Inc, Burlington, ON, Canada

OBJECTIVES: HPV vaccination is recommended in Germany for adolescent girls. The objective of this research was to estimate for Germany, the cost-effectiveness of a candidate prophylactic cervical cancer vaccine with potential cross-protection benefits. METHODS: A Markov model based upon the natural history of HPV and cervical cancer was developed to simulate transitions between health states: Normal, HPV, Cervical Intraepithelial Neoplasia (CIN), Cervical Cancer (CC) stages 1 to 4, and death. Using a lifetime simulation of 12-year old girls, the model was adapted for country-specific epidemiological data: age-specific HPV prevalence, HPV type distribution in cervical disease, prevalence of pre-cancerous lesions, and age-specific CC incidence and mortality. Country-specific screening practices and costs were used with a discount rate of 4% on costs, 1.5% on outcomes. Published efficacy rates were used for the candidate vaccine including a potential cross-protection benefit (i.e., additional efficacy against oncogenic HPV types 31 and 45). Sensitivity analyses were performed on costs, discount rates, efficacies, cross-protection, and age at vaccination. RESULTS: Reductions in CC and related deaths were predicted to be 81% (80% mortality) following vaccination of 12 year old girls. The corresponding cost per life-year gained ranged from €19,600 to €20,700 respectively, depending upon whether the analysis was conducted from a societal or health-care payer perspective. When considering quality of life benefits, the vaccine showed a cost per quality-adjusted life-year of €14,700 (societal) to €15,500 (payer). Results were most sensitive to assumptions about discount rates and age at vaccination. For cohorts of 18, and 25-year-old women, vaccination has estimated cost per QALYs of €16,100 and €18,800 (societal), and €15,300 and €18,000 (payer), respectively. CONCLUSION: Prophylactic vaccination against CC with a candidate HPV 16/18 vaccine is a cost-effective method of reducing precancerous cervical lesions, cervical cancer incidence and mortality in Germany.

Conference/Value in Health Info

2007-10, ISPOR Europe 2007, Dublin, Ireland

Value in Health, Vol. 10, No. 6 (November/December 2007)

Code

PIN19

Topic

Economic Evaluation

Topic Subcategory

Cost-comparison, Effectiveness, Utility, Benefit Analysis

Disease

Infectious Disease (non-vaccine), Vaccines

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