COST-EFFECTIVENESS ANALYSIS OF XPERT MTB/RIF ASSAY FOR DIAGNOSING TUBERCULOSIS IN MALAYSIA USING DYNAMIC TRANSMISSION MODEL

Author(s)

Lee KK1, Fun WH2, Wu DB1, Cheong YM1, Mohamad Noordin N3
1Monash University Malaysia, Subang Jaya, Malaysia, 2Institute For Health Systems Research, Setia Alam, Malaysia, 3National Public Health Laboratory, Sungai Buloh, Malaysia

OBJECTIVES: Despite the endorsement by World Health Organization to use Xpert MTB/RIF test for diagnosing Tuberculosis (TB) and rifampicin resistance, its use as a rapid diagnostic test is still at infancy stage in Malaysia.  This study aimed to determine the cost-effectiveness of Xpert MTB/RIF for early detection and treatment of TB in addition to current practice.  METHODS: A dynamic transmission model was built to estimate the disease burden and economic burden of TB over a 10-year period.  We calculated the incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs), comparing the current practice with Xpert scenario where Xpert MTB/RIF was added into diagnostic algorithm.  The ICER was expressed as cost (USD) per disability-adjusted life year (DALY) averted.  Additionally, one-way sensitivity analysis and probabilistic sensitivity analysis were conducted to assess the individual and joint effects of uncertainty across input parameters.  This study was performed from a government perspective.  A 3% discount rate was used for calculating both the costs and DALYs.  RESULTS: Our study suggests that using Xpert MTB/RIF could reduce the notification rate by 7.8% after 10 years. In the base case analysis, the incorporation of Xpert MTB/RIF to the current practice would lead to an ICER of USD12,437/DALY averted.  One-way sensitivity analysis revealed that Xpert scenario is highly sensitive to rapid progression rate, transmission rate and case detection rate.  At the willingness to pay (WTP) threshold of 1 time Malaysian gross domestic product (GDP) per DALY averted (USD10,427.80 in 2014), the probability of Xpert MTB/RIF being cost effective from the government perspective is 98.86%. CONCLUSIONS: With the current evidence available, our model suggests that Xpert MTB/RIF is cost-effective to be implemented in Malaysia if the WTP threshold is set at 1 time GDP per DALY averted.  This provides valuable information for stakeholders to consider in developing new public health policy to eliminate TB from the country.

Conference/Value in Health Info

2016-09, ISPOR Asia Pacific 2016, Singapore

Value in Health, Vol. 19, No. 7 (November 2016)

Code

PMD13

Topic

Economic Evaluation

Topic Subcategory

Cost-comparison, Effectiveness, Utility, Benefit Analysis

Disease

Infectious Disease (non-vaccine)

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