A MODEL-BASED COST-EFFECTIVENESS ANALYSIS OF B-TYPE NATRIURETIC PEPTIDE MONITORING IN PATIENTS WITH HEART FAILURE

Author(s)

Mohiuddin S1, Hollingworth W1, Maishman R1, Dayer M2, MacLeod J1, McDonagh T3, Purdy S1, Reeves B1, Rogers C1, Pufulete M1
1University of Bristol, Bristol, UK, 2Taunton and Somerset NHS Trust, Somerset, UK, 3King's College London, London, UK

OBJECTIVES:  Heart failure (HF) is a major and growing public health problem associated with high risks of hospitalisation and mortality. B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) is used as a monitoring strategy to guide treatment of some patients with HF with a reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) or preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF). However, many clinical guidelines do not recommend routine monitoring, and it is unclear whether the benefits of BNP-guided monitoring outweigh the costs. We assessed the cost-effectiveness of BNP-guided monitoring in various patient subgroups. METHODS:  We used a Markov model with 3-month cycle length to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of BNP-guided monitoring strategy against clinically-guided monitoring strategy in recently hospitalised patients with HF. We estimated the lifetime costs and health benefits (quality-adjusted life-years; QALYs) of a hypothetical cohort of 1,000 patients from a UK National Health Service perspective. We ran the model for five subgroups: all-HF-patients <75yrs (years); all-HF-patients ≥75yrs; HFrEF-patients <75yrs; HFpEF-patients <75yrs; and HFrEF-patients ≥75yrs. We used individual patient data meta-analyses and linked primary care, hospital and mortality data to inform the key model parameters. We performed probabilistic sensitivity analysis to assess the uncertainty in model parameters. RESULTS:  At the willingness-to-pay threshold of £20,000 per QALY, the incremental net monetary benefits for BNP-guided strategy were: £6,426 (95% percentile CI: £2,401 – £10,075) for all-HF-patients <75yrs; £869 (-£2,814 – £4,606) for all-HF-patients ≥75yrs; £5,424 (£987 – £9,469) for HFrEF-patients <75yrs; £3,155 (-£10,307 – £11,613) for HFpEF-patients <75yrs; and £2,267 (-£1,524 – £6,074) for HFrEF-patients ≥75yrs. The probabilities that BNP-guided strategy is cost-effective were: 0.99 (all-HF-patients <75yrs); 0.67 (all-HF-patients ≥75yrs); 0.99 (HFrEF-patients <75yrs); 0.75 (HFpEF-patients <75yrs); and 0.88 (HFrEF-patients ≥75yrs). CONCLUSIONS:  We found strong evidence that BNP-guided monitoring is a cost-effective alternative to clinically-guided monitoring in younger patients (<75yrs) with HFrEF. It is potentially cost-effective in younger patients with HFpEF and older patients (≥75yrs) with HFrEF, however more evidence is required.

Conference/Value in Health Info

2016-09, ISPOR Asia Pacific 2016, Singapore

Value in Health, Vol. 19, No. 7 (November 2016)

Code

PCV31

Topic

Economic Evaluation

Topic Subcategory

Cost-comparison, Effectiveness, Utility, Benefit Analysis

Disease

Cardiovascular Disorders

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