JOINT MODELING OF PRIMARY AND SECONDARY NON-ADHERENCE OUTCOMES

Author(s)

Pedan A, Geng J
inVentiv Health, Burlington, MA, USA

OBJECTIVES: Medication non-adherence to chronic therapies may severely impact effectiveness of treatment. Non-adherence may occur at different stages in a patient’s treatment journey. It may occur at the very beginning of therapy if a patient receives the initial prescription but does not redeem it at a pharmacy (primary non-adherence), or it may happen after the patient fills a prescription at a pharmacy but fails to follow the instructions or fails to refill the prescription (secondary non-adherence). METHODS: The purpose of this study is to demonstrate that both primary and secondary non-adherences can be jointly described by a hurdle model, which has the interpretation as a two-part model. The first part is a binary outcome model, and the second part is a truncated count model (Poisson or negative binomial). The hurdle model is an example of the finite mixture models which can be fitted by SAS’s new procedure PROC FMM. RESULTS: Data in this retrospective cohort study of medication non-adherence was obtained from blind computerized pharmacy records of a national retail pharmacy chain.  Primary non-adherence was defined as a binary outcome representing failure to fill a new prescription within 30 days after the medication was prescribed to the patient and secondary non-adherence was defined as a number of refills obtained by a patient within a 12 month follow up period. Various measured patient, prescription, and prescribing physician characteristics were included in the model. Hurdle model results indicate that important predictors are missing from the single-component models, but exist in the joint model of primary and secondary non-adherence. CONCLUSIONS: The authors conclude that a hurdle modeling approach enables the taking of simple, well-understood models primary (logistic regression) and secondary non-adherence (count regression) and combine them in a way that provides a better description of the data than a single-component models provide separately.

Conference/Value in Health Info

2014-09, ISPOR Asia Pacific 2014, Beijing, China

Value in Health, Vol. 17, No. 7 (November 2014)

Code

PIH16

Topic

Patient-Centered Research

Topic Subcategory

Adherence, Persistence, & Compliance

Disease

Reproductive and Sexual Health

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