RISK OF THE FIRST ACUTE HEART FAILURE EVENT IN A CARDIOVASCULAR HEALTH PROMOTION PROGRAM OF A DEVELOPING COUNTRY “DE TODO CORAZON”. A COHORT STUDY.
Author(s)
Miranda Machado P1, Salcedo Mejia F1, Paz Wilches J2, De la Hoz Restrepo F3, Alvis Guzman N4
1Alzak Foundation. Universidad de Cartagena., Cartagena de Indias, Colombia, 2Mutual Ser EPS, cartagena, Colombia, 3Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Bogotá, D.C., Colombia, 4ALZAK Foundation. Universidad de Cartagena., Cartagena de Indias, Colombia
OBJECTIVES: "De Todo Corazón" (DTC) is a risk management program with the aim of reducing complications and improving the quality of life of patients with cardiovascular risks. The aim of this study was to compare the risk of first acute heart failure event in patients under program care. METHODS: We started follow-up of a cohort of 47.867 patients with hypertension and/or diabetes mellitus without previous history of confirmed cardiovascular events between June 2014 and December 2015. First event were considered to be first admissions due to acute heart failure. Incidence is reported by 100 person years follow-up. Kaplan-Meier curves were used to evaluate time a first acute heart failure event. Differences between survival curves were compared using Long-Rank test. Multivariate Cox proportional-hazards models were used to evaluate the risk for first acute heart failure event, on the basis of any potentially significant predictor. RESULTS: The average age was 62.8 + 12.2 years and 67.6% female. Mean follow-up time was 11.6 + 6.1 months. The proportion of hypertension, diabetes mellitus and hyperlipidemia was 97.1%, 41.3% and 89.2%, respectively. Incidence of first acute heart failure event was 0.082 events per 100 person-years. At 18 months follow-up, the incidence of first acute heart failure event was higher in male compared with women (221 vs. 205 events; p <0.001; Long-Rank test). Age (HR 1.02; 95% IC 1.01-1.03), male (HR 1.8; 95% IC 1.5-2.2), blood pressure non-control >140/90 mmHg (HR 1.4; 95% IC 1.1-1.8), and high cardiovascular risk >20% Coronary heart disease (CHD) risk at 10 years (HR 1.90 95% IC 1.5-2.5) were significantly associated with the incidence of first acute heart failure event. CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of the first acute heart failure event was significantly higher in patients with blood pressure non-control under program care
Conference/Value in Health Info
2017-05, ISPOR 2017, Boston, MA, USA
Value in Health, Vol. 20, No. 5 (May 2017)
Code
PHS12
Topic
Clinical Outcomes, Epidemiology & Public Health
Topic Subcategory
Comparative Effectiveness or Efficacy
Disease
Cardiovascular Disorders