COST-EFFECTIVENESS OF USING A PROGNOSTIC TEST TO GUIDE TREATMENT DECISIONS IN EARLY STAGE NON-SMALL CELL LUNG CANCER (NSCLC)
Author(s)
Stenehjem D1, Bellows BK1, Kaldate RR2, Jones J2, Siebert U3, Brixner D1
1University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT, USA, 2Myriad Genetic Laboratories, Inc., Salt Lake City, UT, USA, 3Medical Informatics and Technology, and Director of the Division for Health Technology Assessment and Bioinformatics, ONCOTYROL, Hall i. T, Austria
OBJECTIVES: Limited guidance exists for healthcare providers deciding when to treat patients with adjuvant chemotherapy (ACT) in early NSCLC. This leads to high-risk untreated patients that could benefit, and low-risk patients who could avoid the toxicity and cost, from ACT. This study examined the cost-effectiveness of the prognostic test myPlan Lung Cancer vs. current standard of care (SoC) in directing ACT treatment decisions in stage I/II NSCLC. METHODS: A Markov model was created to examine costs (2011 US$) and effectiveness (quality-adjusted life-years [QALYs]), from a US third-party payer perspective over a lifetime horizon. Patients were classified as high or low risk based on a prognostic score derived from stage and an expression signature based on cell cycle progression. The probability of receiving ACT was estimated from a physician survey. Benefit of ACT treatment was based on stage and prognostic score. Other model inputs were literature-derived or assumption-based. Costs and QALYs were discounted at a 3% annual rate. One-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses examined the relative impact of model inputs. RESULTS: In the base case scenario 44% of patients received ACT using the prognostic test vs. 38% based on SoC. Total costs were $131,287 and $125,594 and total QALYs gained were 5.33 and 5.16 for the prognostic test and SoC, respectively. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) for the prognostic test was $34,055/QALY gained. One-way sensitivity analyses indicated the probability of receiving ACT for high-risk, stage Ib patients and the ACT treatment benefit were the largest drivers of cost-effectiveness. The probabilistic sensitivity analysis ICER was $44,196/QALY gained. The prognostic test was cost-effective in 51.1% of the simulations at a willingness-to-pay threshold of $50,000/QALY gained. CONCLUSIONS: The results of this study suggest that using myPlan Lung Cancer to guide ACT decisions is cost-effective compared to a SoC approach according to globally accepted thresholds.
Conference/Value in Health Info
2014-05, ISPOR 2014, Palais des Congres de Montreal
Value in Health, Vol. 17, No. 3 (May 2014)
Code
PCN123
Topic
Economic Evaluation
Topic Subcategory
Cost-comparison, Effectiveness, Utility, Benefit Analysis
Disease
Oncology