THE PUBLIC HEALTH IMPACT OF A NEW HERPES ZOSTER VACCINE ON THE GERMAN POPULATION

Author(s)

van Oorschot DA1, Anastassopoulou A2, Schlegel K2, Varghese L3, von Krempelhuber A2, Curran D1
1GSK Vaccines, Wavre, Belgium, 2GSK Germany, München, Germany, 3GlaxoSmithKline Vaccines, Singapore, Singapore

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to assess public health impact of introducing a new Herpes Zoster (HZ) subunit candidate vaccine (HZ/su), which in clinical studies demonstrated high efficacy against HZ and its complications, in the German populations aged ≥50 and ≥60 years. METHODS: Demographic data were obtained from the German federal statistical office (DeStatis). HZ incidence as well as the proportion of HZ subjects who subsequently developed post-herpetic neuralgia (PHN) was derived from Hillebrand et al. (2014; DOI:0.1016/j.jinf.2014.08.018). Age-specific vaccine efficacy data are based on the results of the phase III efficacy study, published by Lal et al. (2015; DOI:10.1056/NEJMoa1501184), while assuming annual waning rate of the vaccine efficacy of 2% and 4%. The scenarios were explored for the populations aged ≥50 years old and ≥60 years. Coverage of the first dose was assumed to be comparable to the influenza vaccine coverage in these age groups in Germany, with 25% and 36.7% respectively. Compliance of the second dose is assumed to be 100%. A multi-cohort static Markov model that uses an annual cycle length was developed in MS Excelto model the progression of HZ after vaccination (GSK study identifier: HO-16-17270). The cohorts were assessed over their lifetime and the outcomes were compared against no vaccination. RESULTS: Vaccinating 25% of the 34,932,000 adults ≥50 years old with the HZ/su vaccine could potentially prevent between 1,259,138 – 1,622,302 HZ cases and between 226,031 – 295,700 PHN cases, depending on the waning rate assumed. Similarly, when vaccinating 36.7% of the 22,219,000 adults ≥60 years old the vaccine could potentially prevent between 1,121,310 – 1,358,370 HZ cases and 217,636 – 265,578 PHN cases. CONCLUSIONS: The HZ/su vaccine could potentially reduce the HZ-related burden of disease significantly in both age cohorts in Germany.

Conference/Value in Health Info

2016-10, ISPOR Europe 2016, Vienna, Austria

Value in Health, Vol. 19, No. 7 (November 2016)

Code

PIH6

Topic

Epidemiology & Public Health

Topic Subcategory

Safety & Pharmacoepidemiology

Disease

Geriatrics

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