18FDG-PET/CT FOR STAGING NON-SMALL CELL LUNG CANCER – A COST-EFFECTIVENESS ANALYSIS TO PREDICT UNNECESSARY SURGERIES IN BRAZILIAN HEALTH CARE PERSPECTIVE

Author(s)

Schluckebier LF1;Biz AN*2;Bastos CRG2;Silva RM2;Garay OU3, Caetano R2 1Brazilian National Cancer Institute (INCA), Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, 2Rio de Janeiro State University, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, 3Institute for Clinical Effectiveness and Health Policy (IECS), Buenos Aires, Argentina

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the most cost-effective strategy of staging non-small cell lung cancer with hybrid PET/CT to avoid unnecessary surgeries. METHODS: A decision tree model was developed with four work-up approaches: CT alone, PET/CT for all, PET/CT when negative CT, and CT plus PET/CT for all. Mediastinoscopy was included in all alternatives to confirm positive CT or PET/CT. Surgery was considered unnecessary when the work-up drives to resectable stage but the model predicts loco regional or distant metastasis. The model incorporated evidence-based data from the literature and associated costs were evaluated from the Brazilian public health care system perspective. The costs of PET/CT in Brazil were estimated in previous study by microcosts technique. The impact of uncertainties on the model was verified by deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses (PSA). RESULTS: For each strategy, a simulation of 1000 individuals has shown the costs and effects (US$/ avoidable surgery) as follow: US$1.088.248,85/ 0; US$2.620.087,94/ 151; US$2.432.104,45/ 170 and US$2.740.718,99/ 181, respectively. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) per avoidable surgery was more favorable for PET/CT in negative CT (US$7.888/ surgery) than PET/CT for all (US$10.127/ surgery) and CT plus PET/CT (US$9.108/ surgery) versusCT alone. In sensitivity analysis, estimates of ICER were sensitive to changes in the probability of distant metastasis, the cost of PET/CT procedure and probability of N0/1 disease. CONCLUSIONS: Although PET/CT is recommended for staging potential resectable lung cancer patients, the procedure is not reimbursed in Brazilian public health care system yet. Our study shows that include PET/CT in the work-up staging of lung cancer could prevent misleading surgeries due to undiagnosed advanced disease. In term of cost-effectiveness, PET/CT in negative CT patients is the most cost-effective strategy with a probability higher than 90% when the willingness-to-pay is US$10.000,00 superior.

Conference/Value in Health Info

2013-05, ISPOR 2013, New Orleans, LA, USA

Value in Health, Vol. 16, No. 3 (May 2013)

Code

PCN68

Topic

Economic Evaluation

Topic Subcategory

Cost-comparison, Effectiveness, Utility, Benefit Analysis

Disease

Oncology

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