DEVELOPMENT OF A CONCEPTUAL MODEL OF MULTIPLE MYELOMA FOR USE IN ECONOMIC MODELLING- A SYSTEMATIC LITERATURE REVIEW TO IDENTIFY THE EVIDENCE BASE
Author(s)
Gonzalez-McQuire S1, Campioni M1, Bennison C2, Xu W3, Pantiri K3, Hensen M3, Weisel K4, Terpos E5, Knop S6
1Amgen (Europe) GmbH, Zug, Switzerland, 2Pharmerit Ltd, Heslington, UK, 3Pharmerit BV, Rotterdam, The Netherlands, 4University Hospital of Tübingen, Tübingen, Germany, 5University of Athens School of Medicine, Athens, Greece, 6University Hospital of Würzburg, Würzburg, Germany
OBJECTIVES: This study sought to identify disease- and patient-specific characteristics impacting on disease progression and outcomes, and to determine key attributes to be used in developing a conceptual model of multiple myeloma (MM). METHODS: English language studies reporting MM attributes and their association with disease progression and outcomes were identified from Embase and Medline (2004–2014) and congress abstracts (2012–2014) in a systematic literature review (SLR). A second SLR of treatment guidelines, economic models, health technology reports and studies on the burden of MM was also used. An attribute was defined as a metric or characteristic of MM that plays a potential role in the disease process. These attributes can be explanatory (e.g. patient characteristics) or dependant (e.g. survival). RESULTS: From both SLRs, 95 MM attributes were identified. These were grouped into disease characteristics (e.g. light chains, International Staging System [ISS] stage, bone marrow plasma cells, extramedullary disease, karyotypic abnormalities), genetic factors [e.g. t(4;14), del(13p), del(17p), hypodiploidy, hyperdiploidy], patient characteristics (e.g. age, serum lactate dehydrogenase, gender, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status, comorbidities), outcomes (e.g. overall survival), quality of life and symptoms (e.g. pain, fatigue, weakness, bone fractures, infection). Attributes were then categorised as explanatory or dependent variables. Age, serum lactate dehydrogenase, light chains and M protein were among the most common explanatory variables in the literature. The most commonly reported dependent variable was overall survival, followed by quality of life. None of the studies presented a comprehensive set of determinants of disease progression and outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: MM is a heterogeneous condition and it is not yet clear which attributes play a key role in determining disease progression and survival. The next step in developing the conceptual model for MM is to ask physicians to validate the potential attributes identified and to clarify the relationships between validated attributes.
Conference/Value in Health Info
2015-11, ISPOR Europe 2015, Milan, Italy
Value in Health, Vol. 18, No. 7 (November 2015)
Code
PRM106
Topic
Methodological & Statistical Research
Topic Subcategory
Modeling and simulation
Disease
Systemic Disorders/Conditions