A METHOD BASED ON THE REMAINING VALUE OF PERFECT INFORMATION FOR THE SAMPLE SIZE CALCULATION IN RANDOMIZED TRIAL-BASED COST-EFFECTIVENESS ANALYSES

Author(s)

Bader C, Donadel M, Maillard A, Benard A
University Hospital Bordeaux, Bordeaux, France

OBJECTIVES: To propose a sample size calculation method for randomized trial-based cost-effectiveness analyses (RTBCEA), coherent with recommendations to express uncertainty through cost-effectiveness probabilities and expected value of information. METHODS: Let’s estimate the sample size of a RTBCEA with 2 parallel-groups of equal size n, assuming equal variance of costs (s²C) and effectiveness (s²E) in each group. Our method is based on the incremental net monetary benefit (b~Nb,σ²b)). A realization of this random variable in the planned RTBCEA would yield a sampling distribution of mean μb and variance 2σ²bi/n, where σ²biis the variance of the individual net monetary benefit in each group. σ²bi=λ²σ²E²C–2λρσEσC, where λ is the ceiling cost-effectiveness ratio, and ρ the correlation between cost and effectiveness. Using this sampling distribution of b, the remaining value of perfect information (or the expected value of perfect information depending on n (EVPI(n))) is calculated, specifying the size of the target population (N) and a discount rate (r). The total cost of the planned RTBCEA is defined by a fixed cost (Cf) and a cost/patient (Cv). The optimal sample size of one arm in the planned RTBCEA is n when EVPI(n)=Cf+2nCv

Conference/Value in Health Info

2015-11, ISPOR Europe 2015, Milan, Italy

Value in Health, Vol. 18, No. 7 (November 2015)

Code

PRM210

Topic

Methodological & Statistical Research

Topic Subcategory

Confounding, Selection Bias Correction, Causal Inference

Disease

Multiple Diseases

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