THE IMPORTANCE OF LONG-TERM SURVEILLANCE OF STAGE IB MELANOMAS- UNEXPECTEDLY LOW SURVIVAL SUBSEQUENT TO RECURRENCE
Author(s)
Leeneman B1, Franken MG1, Blommestein HM1, van Gils CW2, van der Meijde E3, Wouters MW4, Plaisier PW5, Kruit WH6, van Ruth S7, ten Tije AJ8, Hendriks MP9, Coupe VM3, Uyl - de Groot CA1
1Erasmus University, Rotterdam, The Netherlands, 2GlaxoSmithKline, Zeist, The Netherlands, 3VU University Medical Center, Amsterdam, The Netherlands, 4Netherlands Cancer Institute–Antoni van Leeuwenhoek, Amsterdam, The Netherlands, 5Albert Schweitzer Hospital, Dordrecht, The Netherlands, 6Erasmus Medical Center, Rotterdam, The Netherlands, 7Tergooi Hospital, Hilversum, The Netherlands, 8Amphia Hospital, Breda, The Netherlands, 9Medical Center Alkmaar, Alkmaar, The Netherlands
OBJECTIVES: Stage IB cutaneous melanomas are characterized by a low risk for recurrence and a high survival. However, empirical evidence on recurrence patterns and survival subsequent to recurrence is limited. We investigated overall survival (OS) and recurrence patterns, and assessed whether the time-to-recurrence was associated with prognostic factors. METHODS: The Dutch Comprehensive Cancer Centers registry was used to identify patients diagnosed with stage IB melanoma between January 2003 and December 2011 in six Dutch hospitals including two academic and four general hospitals (n=971). Data were retrospectively collected using electronic hospital records. Survival was assessed using the Kaplan-Meier estimator. Recurrence patterns were investigated by type of first recurrence and time-to-recurrence. A multivariate cox regression was used to analyze whether time-to-recurrence was associated with gender, age and tumor thickness. Emigrated patients (n=10) and patients with an unknown recurrence status (n=144) were excluded. RESULTS: Of all 817 patients, 111 patients (13.6%) experienced disease progression (median follow-up: 5.5 years). Patients who developed a recurrence had a lower survival compared to patients who did not developed a recurrence (median OS: 9.4 years versus median has not yet been reached; 5-year survival rate: 69.9% versus 96.6%; p<0.001). The most frequent type of first recurrence was lymphatic (36.9%), followed by distant (22.5%), local (21.6%) and intralymphatic (9.9%), respectively. The median time-to-recurrence has not yet been reached; however, in case of a recurrence, the median time-to-recurrence was 2.5 years (minimum: 0.01 years; maximum: 9.8 years). The time-to-recurrence was not statistically significantly associated with gender (HR=0.81; p=0.29), age (HR=1.01; p=0.38) and tumor thickness (HR=1.03; p=0.76). CONCLUSIONS: Long-term surveillance of stage IB melanomas is of utmost importance, because survival subsequent to recurrence is much lower than expected. The risk of developing a recurrence was substantial; however, the time-to-recurrence was not associated with gender, age and tumor thickness.
Conference/Value in Health Info
2014-11, ISPOR Europe 2014, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
Value in Health, Vol. 17, No. 7 (November 2014)
Code
PCN29
Topic
Clinical Outcomes, Epidemiology & Public Health
Topic Subcategory
Relating Intermediate to Long-term Outcomes, Safety & Pharmacoepidemiology
Disease
Oncology
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