PUBLIC HEALTH AND ECONOMIC IMPACT OF VACCINATING CHILDREN WITH A QUADRIVALENT LIVE ATTENUATED INFLUENZA VACCINE IN FRANCE USING A DYNAMIC TRANSMISSION MODEL
Author(s)
Gerlier L1, Weil-Olivier C2, Carrat F3, Lenne X4, Lamotte M1, Greneche S5, Eichner M6
1IMS Health HEOR, Vilvoorde, Belgium, 2University Paris VII Diderot, Paris, France, 3University Pierre et Marie Curie, Paris 6, Paris, France, 4University Lille Nord de France, Lille, France, 5AstraZeneca France, Rueil-Malmaison, France, 6Epimos geoInfoNet UG, Tübingen, Germany
OBJECTIVES: We aimed at estimating the impact of extending the French influenza vaccination programme from at-risk/elderly (≥65 years) only, to additionally include children (2-17 years). METHODS: A deterministic, age-structured, dynamic transmission model was used to simulate the transmission of influenza in the French population, under the current coverage with the trivalent inactivated vaccine (TIV) in at-risk/elderly individuals (=reference strategy) or after extending the coverage to healthy 2-17 years-old children with an intranasal, quadrivalent live-attenuated influenza vaccine (QLAIV) (=evaluated strategy). The transmission probabilities were determined using between-individuals contact patterns (“Polymod” matrix). Epidemiological, medical resources and costs data were issued by crossing data from literature and French resource-based value scales. The basic reproduction number (R0) of the model was calibrated to the observed numbers of influenza-like illness visits/year and deaths/year. The 10-year, undiscounted, number of symptomatic cases of confirmed influenza and direct medical costs (All-payer) were calculated for the 0-17 (direct effect) and ≥18 years-old (indirect effect). The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was calculated for the total population, using a 4% discount/year. Univariate and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed. RESULTS: Model calibration yielded R0=1.27 (assuming 2.3 million visits/year and 1,960 deaths/year). In the 0-17 years-old with 50% QLAIV coverage, the average number of confirmed influenza cases dropped by 865,000/year, averting 58.4% of the cases occurring in the reference strategy and leading to 10-year savings of €374 million. In the ≥18 years-old with unchanged TIV coverage, 1.2 million cases/year of confirmed influenza were averted (-27.6%), yielding additional 10-year savings of €457 million. On average, 613 flu-related deaths were avoided annually. The ICER was €18,000/life-year gained. The evaluated strategy was 98% cost-effective at a €30,000/life-year gained threshold. CONCLUSIONS: The model demonstrated the direct and indirect benefits of protecting healthy children against influenza with QLAIV, on public health and economic outcomes in France.
Conference/Value in Health Info
2014-11, ISPOR Europe 2014, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
Value in Health, Vol. 17, No. 7 (November 2014)
Code
PIN61
Topic
Economic Evaluation
Topic Subcategory
Cost-comparison, Effectiveness, Utility, Benefit Analysis
Disease
Infectious Disease (non-vaccine)