MODELLING THE IMPACT OF PERSISTENCE IMPROVEMENTS WITH AN ELECTRONIC INJECTION DEVICE ON ESCALATION TO 2ND LINE TREATMENT IN PATIENTS WITH RELAPSING REMITTING MULTIPLE SCLEROSIS (RRMS)

Author(s)

Meletiche DM1, Rutkowski T2, Martin de Bustamante MA3, Chowdhury CA4, Beckerman R2
1EMD Serono, Inc., Rockland, MA, USA, 2CBPartners, New York City, NY, USA, 3CBPartners, San Francisco, CA, USA, 4New York, NY, USA & London, UK

OBJECTIVES The purpose of this analysis was to estimate how higher persistence in RRMS patients treated with interferon beta 1-a and its electronic injection device (Rebismart®) affects the rate of escalation to 2nd line therapies.  METHODS A 2-year, decision-analytic model was developed to track a hypothetical cohort of 1,000 RRMS patients initiating treatment with either interferon beta 1-a and Rebismart® or another 1st line self-injectable disease modifying drug (DMD). The model calculated the expected probability of escalating to 2nd line therapy, which was defined as either Gilenya® or Tysabri®.  Persistence curves were estimated from a real-world dataset collected from the UK NHS where at 2 years Rebismart® users had 83% persistence vs. 60% in non- Rebismart® users.  A market research study was utilized to determine the treatment pathways for non-persistent patients, where 39% transitioned to another 1st line DMD; 21% abandoned therapy and 40% escalated to 2nd line therapies. One-way sensitivity analyses (OWSAs) varied the probability of non-persistent 1st line patients escalating to 2nd line therapies from 5% to 100%. RESULTS The model estimated that over two years 5.4% of patients on the Rebismart® device are expected to escalate to 2nd line therapy, while 18.3% of patients that initiated treatment on other DMDs are expected to escalate.  At the lower bound of the OWSA, 0.68% of patients are expected to escalate on Rebismart®, vs. 2.3%; while at the upper bound of the OWSA, 13.3% of Rebismart® patients are expected to escalate vs. 42.7%.  CONCLUSIONS Higher persistence rates in RRMS patients initiating treatment with interferon beta 1-a and the Rebismart® electronic device are expected to result in fewer escalations to 2nd line therapies relative to other self-injectable DMDs.

Conference/Value in Health Info

2014-11, ISPOR Europe 2014, Amsterdam, The Netherlands

Value in Health, Vol. 17, No. 7 (November 2014)

Code

PND1

Topic

Clinical Outcomes, Epidemiology & Public Health

Topic Subcategory

Comparative Effectiveness or Efficacy, Safety & Pharmacoepidemiology

Disease

Neurological Disorders

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