PROJECTING THE POTENTIAL COST-EFFECTIVENESS OF UNIVERSAL ACCESS TO MODERN CONTRACEPTIVES IN UGANDA

Author(s)

Babigumira JBUniversity of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA

OBJECTIVES: Over two thirds of women who need contraception in Uganda lack access to modern effective methods.  This study was conducted to estimate the potential cost-effectiveness of achieving universal access to modern contraceptives in Uganda by implementing a hypothetical New Contraceptive Program (NCP) from both societal and governmental perspectives. METHODS: A Markov model was developed to compare the NCP to the status quo or Current Contraceptive Program (CCP).  The model followed a hypothetical cohort of 15-year old girls over a lifetime horizon.  Data were obtained from the Uganda National Demographic and Health Survey and from published and unpublished sources.  Costs, life expectancy, disability-adjusted life expectancy, pregnancies, fertility and incremental cost-effectiveness measured as cost per life-year (LY) gained, cost per disability-adjusted life-year (DALY) averted, cost per pregnancy averted and cost per unit of fertility reduction were calculated.  Univariate and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed to examine the robustness of results. RESULTS: Mean discounted life expectancy and disability-adjusted life expectancy (DALE) were higher under the NCP vs. CCP (28.74 vs. 28.65 years and 27.38 vs. 27.01 respectively).  Mean pregnancies and live births per woman were lower for the NCP (9.51 vs. 7.90 and 6.92 vs. 5.79 respectively).  Mean lifetime societal costs per woman were higher for the NCP from the societal perspective ($1,074 vs. $1,041) and the governmental perspective ($448 vs. $397). The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio comparing the NCP to the CCP was $88 per DALY averted (societal perspective) and $138 per DALY averted (governmental perspective).  The results were robust to univariate and probabilistic sensitivity analysis. CONCLUSIONS: Universal access to modern contraceptives in Uganda appears to be highly cost-effective. Increasing contraceptive coverage should be considered among Uganda’s public health priorities.

Conference/Value in Health Info

2011-05, ISPOR 2011, Baltimore, MD, USA

Value in Health, Vol. 14, No. 3 (May 2011)

Code

PIH14

Topic

Economic Evaluation

Topic Subcategory

Cost-comparison, Effectiveness, Utility, Benefit Analysis

Disease

Pediatrics, Reproductive and Sexual Health

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