THE VALUE OF A PREDICTIVE DIAGNOSTIC BLOOD TEST IN MULTIPLE SCLEROSIS (MS)

Author(s)

Van Hout BA1, Botteman M2, Dukler A31University of Sheffield, Sheffield, United Kingdom, 2Pharmerit North America, LLC, Bethesda, MD, USA, 3Glycominds Ltd., Lod, Israel

OBJECTIVES:  To assess the cost effectiveness of gMS®Pro EDSS, a test designed to identify MS patients with a high likelihood of progressing fast and in need of more aggressive treatment. METHODS:  A literature-based discrete-event simulation follows patients visiting their physicians at defined EDSS score deteriorations. At each visit, 4 therapies are considered: three less aggressive/less expensive therapies (assumed monthly cost of $2,000/patient) and a more aggressive/more expensive therapy (assumed monthly cost of $3,000/patient) associated with severe side effects.  The more agressive therapy is only considered cost effective in fast deteriorating patients. The expected cost effectiveness of each therapy was calculated using a Markov model (using EDSS scores as health states) and applying a Bayesian updating process considering the likelihood that the patient is “fast deteriorating” and/or responds to therapy. The model compares patients’ costs and quality of life when the gMS®Pro EDSS test is used vs. when it is not. The estimated sensitivity and specificity of gMS®Pro EDSS were 65.18% and 84.09%, respectively based on clinical trail results. The costs of all non-medication costs were based on Kobelt et al. RESULTS:  Using the test, in comparison to not using the test, in a MS population containing 25% of patients who progress fast results in more frequent (25.18% vs. 24.24%) and earlier (2.24 years on average) use of aggressive therapy.  The test is estimated to result in a gain of 0.11 QALY's and to be economically dominant up to a price of $2640 (cost of medication is estimated to increase by $2984 which is offset by savings of $2704 of other direct medical costs and $2920 of production losses).  CONCLUSIONS: The gMS®Pro EDSS is likely to be a cost effective addition in the identification of the optimal therapy for MS patients.

Conference/Value in Health Info

2010-05, ISPOR 2010, Atlanta, GA, USA

Value in Health, Vol. 13, No. 3 (May 2010)

Code

PND2

Topic

Epidemiology & Public Health

Topic Subcategory

Disease Classification & Coding

Disease

Neurological Disorders

Explore Related HEOR by Topic


Your browser is out-of-date

ISPOR recommends that you update your browser for more security, speed and the best experience on ispor.org. Update my browser now

×