THE ESTIMATED IMPACT OF IN VITRO BIOMARKERS ON THE COST-EFFECTIVENESS OF POPULATION-WIDE COLORECTAL CANCER SCREENING

Author(s)

Gayle Marie Wittenberg, PhD, Project Manager, Karin Noy, MS, Software Engineer, Mathaeus Dejori, PhD, Project Manager, Daniel Fasulo, PhD, Program ManagerSiemens Corporate Research, Princeton, NJ, USA

OBJECTIVES: Most screening options for colorectal cancer (CRC) are invasive and patient compliance in population wide screening programs is low. Recently, potential candidates for blood-based biomarker tests for early cancer detection have been described. Here we perform an extensive cost-effectiveness analysis of integrated diagnostic screening workflows to determine the anticipated impact of incorporating two candidate in vitro biomarkers, CCSA-3 immunoassay and SEPT9 epigenetics testing, on both patient mortality and medical costs. METHODS: Markov Cycle Tree models were constructed to simulate disease progression and screening for 4 million people, representative of the U.S. population, aging from 50 to 80. Eight workflows were constructed from combinations of Optical Colonoscopy (OC), CT Colonography (CTC), Fecal Occult Blood Test (FOBT), Immunoassay (CCSA-3), and Epigenetics (SEPT9). Kernel density estimation was performed on raw biomarker data to generate disease-state probability distributions of biomarker levels for sensitivity and specificity calculations. Finally, we perform sensitivity analysis on the sensitivity and specificity of a generic in vitro diagnostic test. RESULTS: CRC screening workflows that include initial screening with inexpensive in vitro diagnostic tests given every 3 years outperform others in both cost and effectiveness. Incremental costs compared with No Screening are as follows: OC $1.4B increase, SEPT9 $582M increase, CCSA-3 $2.8B decrease. Life-years saved: OC 78,535, SEPT9 185,839, CCSA-3 216,434. Despite having lower sensitivity and specificity, the low-cost and minimally-invasive nature of these tests allow more frequent screening, resulting in better detection of early stage disease than with OC alone. CONCLUSIONS: Though currently there are no blood-based biomarkers approved for early colorectal cancer screening, we can assess the expected impact of these tests once developed on colorectal cancer in the U.S. population. A complete sensitivity analysis of the sensitivity and specificity of a hypothetical biomarker provides a map of cost-effectiveness within which any test developed will fall.

Conference/Value in Health Info

2009-05, ISPOR 2009, Orlando, FL, USA

Value in Health, Vol. 12, No. 3 (May 2009)

Code

PCN36

Topic

Economic Evaluation

Topic Subcategory

Cost-comparison, Effectiveness, Utility, Benefit Analysis

Disease

Oncology

Explore Related HEOR by Topic


Your browser is out-of-date

ISPOR recommends that you update your browser for more security, speed and the best experience on ispor.org. Update my browser now

×