GENERAL METHODOLOGICAL ISSUES IN COST-EFFECTIVENESS ANALYSIS INSPIRED BY THE ASSESSMENT OF DASATINIB, NILOTINIB AND IMATINIB FOR CHRONIC MYELOID LEUKAEMIA
Author(s)
Hoyle MWUniversity of Exeter, Exeter, United Kingdom
Presentation Documents
OBJECTIVES: In 2009, the cost-effectiveness of drugs for chronic myeloid leukaemia for use in the UK NHS was evaluated by the National Institute of Health and Clinical Excellence (NICE). Two questions were considered: a) dasatinib vs. nilotinib vs. high-dose imatinib vs. interferon-alpha for imatinib-resistant patients, and b) dasatinib vs. nilotinib vs. interferon-alpha for imatinib-intolerant patients. Here, three methodological issues are discussed which strongly influenced the cost-effectiveness of these drugs. These issues are also important in estimation of the cost-effectiveness of many other drugs and other health technologies. METHODS: 1) Overall survival: Several methods were considered for estimating overall survival, including those used by the drug sponsors, Novartis and Bristol-Myers Squibb; 2) Sources of mortality: Two approaches were considered: a) split by mortality due to chronic myeloid leukaemia and general mortality or b) both combined; 3) Treatment duration: This was reported in none of the trials. Several methods of estimating treatment duration were considered. RESULTS: 1) Overall survival: It was not possible to extrapolate overall survival because it was very immature in the trials. Instead, the preferred method was estimation via a surrogate relationship using major cytogenetic response; 2) Sources of mortality: Option (a) was preferred; and 3) Treatment duration: the preferred method was by reference to mean progression-free survival, adjusted for treatment cessation due to adverse events. CONCLUSIONS: To estimate the cost-effectiveness of health technologies for a variety of conditions, it is recommended that 1) if overall survival from a trial is immature, it can be estimated by surrogate relationships; 2) for chronic conditions, the analyst should consider modelling separately disease-specific mortality and general mortality; and 3) for drugs, the mean number of doses in clinical trials should be reported so that it is not necessary to estimate this important information using indirect methods.
Conference/Value in Health Info
2011-11, ISPOR Europe 2011, Madrid, Spain
Value in Health, Vol. 14, No. 7 (November 2011)
Code
PRM23
Topic
Methodological & Statistical Research
Topic Subcategory
Modeling and simulation
Disease
Multiple Diseases