COST-EFFEECTIVENESS OF EARLIER INITIATION OF FIRST LINE COMBINATION ANTIRETROVIRAL THERAPY IN AN URBAN OUTPATIENT HIV CLINIC IN UGANDA

Author(s)

Kuznik A, Sempa J, Ssennono M, Hermans S, Castelnuovo B, Lamorde M, Semeere A, Auerbach B, Sowinski S, Ssewankambo F, Manabe YCInfectious Diseases Institute, Kampala, Uganda

OBJECTIVES: According to national guidelines, HIV-positive patients in Uganda are to be initiated on combination antiretroviral therapy (cART) at a CD4+ T-cell (CD4) count below 250 cells/µl. However, cART initiation at higher CD4 counts increases survival, albeit at higher lifetime treatment cost. This analysis evaluates the cost-effectiveness of initiating cART at CD4 counts between 250 – 349 cells/µl vs. current guidelines. METHODS: The average CD4 decline in untreated patients with CD4 counts below 550 cells/µl occurs at a rate of 96.6 cells/µl annually. Life expectancy of cART-treated patients, conditional on baseline CD4 count, is modeled based on published literature. First line cART costs US$192 annually, with an additional US$113 per year for patient monitoring. Delay of cART until the CD4 count falls below 250 cells/µl incurs the cost of the bi-annual CD4 test and cost of routine maintenance care at US$85 annually. The analysis compares lifetime treatment costs and disability adjusted life-expectancy between early vs. delayed cART for ten baseline CD4 count ranges from 250-259 to 340-349 cells/µl. All costs and benefits are discounted at 3% annually. RESULTS: Treatment delay varies from 0.5 year (CD4: 250-299) – 1 year (CD4: 300-349). Early cART initiation increases life expectancy between 1.48 and 3.01 years and averts 1.31 – 2.67 disability adjusted life years (DALY’s) per patient. Lifetime treatment costs are US$4255 – US$5210 for early initiation and US$3755 – US$4307 for delayed initiation. The cost/DALY averted of the early versus delayed start ranges from US$354 – US$362. CONCLUSIONS: In HIV-positive patients presenting with CD4 counts between 250-350 cells/µl, immediate initiation of cART is a highly cost-effective strategy using the recommended 1 time per capita GDP threshold of $460 reported for Uganda.  Expanding the number of treatment slots to include patients with higher CD4 counts would constitute an efficient use of scarce health care dollars.

Conference/Value in Health Info

2011-11, ISPOR Europe 2011, Madrid, Spain

Value in Health, Vol. 14, No. 7 (November 2011)

Code

PIN49

Topic

Economic Evaluation

Topic Subcategory

Cost-comparison, Effectiveness, Utility, Benefit Analysis

Disease

Infectious Disease (non-vaccine)

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