USING GENETIC POLYMORPHISM AS A STRATEGY TO ESTIMATE THE POTENTIAL COST-EFFECTIVENESS OF PHARMACOLOGICAL CCR5 BLOCKADE IN DIALYSIS PATIENTS
Author(s)
Vegter S1, Muntinghe FL2, Verduijn M3, Boeschoten EW4, Dekker FW5, Navis G6, Postma MJ11University of Groningen, Groningen, Netherlands, 2University Medical Centre Groningen (UMCG), Groningen, Netherlands, 3Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, Netherlands, 4Hans Mak Institute, Naarden, Netherlands, 5Clinical Epidemiology, Leiden, Netherlands, 6Division of Nephrology, Groningen, Netherlands
OBJECTIVES: Pharmacological interventions that are of benefit in non-dialysis populations have thus far been disappointing in dialysis patients. Since clinical trials are expensive and time-consuming, adjunct strategies are needed to support decision making in prioritization of tracks for drug development. Genetic association studies may provide such a strategy when a genotype is associated with a well-defined molecular and functional phenotype. Previously an association with better survival was found in incident dialysis patients with systemic inflammation and a deletion variant of the CC-chemokine receptor 5 (CCR5Δ32). Thus, we hypothesized that pharmacological CCR5 blockade could protect against inflammation associated mortality and estimated if such a treatment would be cost-effective. METHODS: A screen-and-treat strategy was modelled in which patients were screened for the CCR5Δ32 polymorphism and patients with the wild-type genotype and high inflammation status were treated with CCR5 antagonists. A decision-analytic Markov model was used. Costs, utilities and clinical data on the association between CCR5 polymorphisms and mortality were all gathered from a single prospectively followed dialysis cohort (NECOSAD, n=413). Univariate and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed. RESULTS: Pharmacological CCR5 blockade in patients with CCR5 wild-type and high inflammation status decreased mortality (RR=0.61) and improved the probability of renal transplantation (RR=2.41). The cost-effectiveness of the screen-and-treat strategy was €18,557 per life-year gained and €21,896 per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained. The main drivers of the cost-effectiveness were the costs of pharmacological CCR5 blockade and the reduction in relative risk of mortality. Threshold analyses were performed for these two parameters. CONCLUSIONS: Pharmacological blockade of the CCR5 receptor in inflamed dialysis patients can be incorporated in a potential cost-effective genetic screen-and-treat program. This study illustrates the potential of genetic association studies in drug-development programs, as a new source of Mendelian randomized evidence from an observational setting.
Conference/Value in Health Info
2010-11, ISPOR Europe 2010, Prague, Czech Republic
Value in Health, Vol. 13, No. 7 (November 2010)
Code
PUK25
Topic
Economic Evaluation
Topic Subcategory
Cost-comparison, Effectiveness, Utility, Benefit Analysis
Disease
Urinary/Kidney Disorders