THE BURDEN OF NON-ALCOHOLIC STEATOHEPATITIS (NASH) IN THE EU5 COUNTRIES

Author(s)

Le Pen C1, Fricke FU2, Newsome P3, Schattenberg JM4, Serfaty L5, Aghemo A6, Augustin S7, Tsochatzis E8, Canbay A9, de Lédinghen V10, Bugianesi E11, Romero-Gomez M12, Ryder S13, Bantel H14, Boursier J15, Petta S16, Crespo J17, Castera L18, Leroy V19, Elliott RA20, Atella V21, Mestre-Ferrandiz J22, Floros L23, Torbica A24, Morgan A25, Hartmanis S26, Trylesinski A27, Cure S27, Stirzaker E25, Vasudevan S26, Pezzullo L25, Ratziu V28
1University Paris-Dauphine, Paris, France, 2Technische Hochschule Nürnberg, Nürnberg, Germany, 3University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK, 4University Medical Center Mainz, Mainz, Germany, 5Hôpitaux Universitaires de Strasbourg, Strasbourg, France, 6Humanitas University and Humanitas Research Hospital IRCCS, Milano, Italy, 7Hospital Universitari Vall d'Hebron, Barcelona, Spain, 8Royal Free Hospital, London, UK, 9Universitätsklinikum Magdeburg, Magdeburg, Germany, 10Centre Hospitalier Universitaire Bordeaux, Bordeaux, France, 11University of Torino, Torino, Italy, 12Virgen del Rocío University Hospital, Sevilla, Spain, 13Nottingham University Hospitals, Nottingham, UK, 14Medizinische Hochschule Hannover, Hannover, Germany, 15Angers University Hospital, Angers, France, 16University of Palermo, Palermo, Italy, 17Hospital Universitario Marqués de Valdecilla, Santander, Spain, 18Hôpital Beaujon, Paris, France, 19Centre Hospitalier Universitaire de Grenoble, Grenoble, France, 20Manchester Centre for Health Economics, Division of Population Health, Health Services Research and Primary Care, School of Health Sciences, Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, The University of Manchester, Manchester, UK, 21University Rome Tor Vergata, Rome, Italy, 22Independent Economics Consultant, Madrid, Spain, 23PHMR Limited, London, UK, 24SDA Bocconi School of Management, Milan, MI, Italy, 25Deloitte, Canberra, Australia, 26Deloitte, Victoria, Australia, 27Intercept Pharmaceuticals, London, UK, 28Hôpital Pitié-Salpêtrière, Paris, France

OBJECTIVES : NASH is a chronic disease that can progress to end-stage liver disease. This progression is particularly rapid in NASH patients with advanced liver fibrosis (stages F3–F4). This study estimated the disease burden and economic impact of NASH in the adult population of France, Germany, Italy, Spain and the UK.

METHODS : A cost-of-illness methodology applying a prevalence approach was used to estimate the number of adults with NASH (stages F0–F4, hepatocellular carcinoma and liver transplant) in 2018, and the attributable economic and wellbeing costs. Wellbeing costs were estimated using World Health Organisation burden of disease methodology. The analysis and resource-use were based on extensive literature review, and consultation with clinical experts, health economists and patient groups. Epidemiological estimates were derived from two modelling studies (upper and lower bound). Costs were sourced from literature and local fee schedules.

RESULTS : The estimated prevalence of NASH ranged from 1.89% to 4.03% across F0–F4 patients. Patients with advanced fibrosis due to NASH (F3–F4) were estimated to range from 0.37% to 0.79% or 0.9–2.0 million adults; of these, only 37.8–39.1% were diagnosed. The proportion of patients with advanced fibrosis due to NASH and a diagnosis therefore comprised between 0.15% and 0.33%. Total economic costs in the EU5 ranged between €6,065 and €13,424 million; of these, direct health system costs ranged from €619 to €1,292 million. Total wellbeing costs ranged from €41,536 to €90,379 million, primarily driven by the high mortality rate of NASH patients.

CONCLUSIONS : This study found that there was a low rate of diagnosis of advanced liver fibrosis due to NASH in the EU5 countries. There was also a notable variation between the countries in the prevalence of all-stage NASH and its associated economic costs.

Conference/Value in Health Info

2019-11, ISPOR Europe 2019, Copenhagen, Denmark

Code

PGI27

Topic

Economic Evaluation, Epidemiology & Public Health, Methodological & Statistical Research

Topic Subcategory

Modeling and simulation

Disease

Gastrointestinal Disorders

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