ECONOMIC AND CLINICAL OUTCOMES OF CELL-BASED VERSUS EGG-BASED INFLUENZA VACCINES IN U.S. PEDIATRIC AND ADULT POPULATIONS: A MODELING STUDY

Author(s)

Joaquin F. Mould-Quevedo, MBA, MSc, PhD1, Van Hung Nguyen, PhD2;
1Seqirus, Global Health Economics and Value Strategy Director, Summit, NJ, USA, 2VHN Consulting, Montreal, QC, Canada
OBJECTIVES: Influenza imposes a substantial clinical and economic burden on healthcare services in the United States, particularly among children and adults, underscoring the critical importance of effective vaccination strategies. Literature suggests that cell-based influenza vaccines offer potential benefits over traditional egg-based vaccines, which may improve health outcomes and help reduce the high burden of disease. This study aims to evaluate the clinical and economic impact of cell-based versus egg-based influenza vaccines in both pediatric (6 months-17 years) and adult (18-64 years) populations in the U.S. from a payer perspective.
METHODS: We employed a dynamic, age-stratified transmission model to estimate influenza-associated direct medical costs, assuming a current U.S. influenza immunization rate of 50% for pediatric and adult populations. Two distinct flu seasons were modeled: low incidence (2011-2012) and high incidence (2017-2018). Outcomes included total influenza-related outpatient and inpatient expenditures. Relative vaccine effectiveness (rVE) for cell-based versus egg-based vaccines was set at 12.5% extracted from multiple peer-reviewed observational studies. All U.S. direct medical costs per event were sourced from published literature.
RESULTS: Compared to egg-based vaccines, cell-based influenza vaccines are expected to reduce total estimated influenza-associated medical costs by $1,353 million (outpatient) and $2,866 million (inpatient) during a high-incidence season. In a low-incidence season, the avoided costs were $682 million (outpatient) and $1,382 million (inpatient). These savings are attributable to an expected reduction of 2.8 million outpatient visits and 65,783 inpatient admissions in a high-incidence season, and 1.6 million outpatient visits and 34,346 inpatient admissions in a low-incidence season.
CONCLUSIONS: Improving pediatric and adult influenza vaccination rates, alongside the adoption of cost-effective strategies such as cell-based vaccines, has the potential to significantly reduce direct medical expenditures, alleviate healthcare system burden, and advance national public health goals.

Conference/Value in Health Info

2026-05, ISPOR 2026, Philadelphia, PA, USA

Value in Health, Volume 29, Issue S6

Code

EE513

Topic

Economic Evaluation

Disease

SDC: Pediatrics, STA: Vaccines

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