BUDGET IMPACT OF INTRODUCING TAPINAROF, A NEW ARYL HYDROCARBON RECEPTOR AGONIST, FOR THE TREATMENT OF ATOPIC DERMATITIS IN ADULT AND PEDIATRIC PATIENTS, FROM A U.S. MEDICAID PLAN PERSPECTIVE

Author(s)

Daisuke Goto, PhD1, Leon Dupclay, Pharm.D., Ph.D.1, Krishna Tangirala, MBA, MPH, BAMS1, David Proudman, MPH2, Avani Samandur, BS2, Brian Seal, MBA, RPh, PhD1, K Neena Chima, MD, FAAD3.
1Organon, Jersey City, NJ, USA, 2Analysis Group, Menlo Park, CA, USA, 3Schweiger Dermatology Group, Wayne, NJ, USA.
OBJECTIVES: Tapinarof is a first-in-class topical aryl hydrocarbon receptor agonist indicated for all severity levels of atopic dermatitis (AD) in 2+ year-old patients. The objective was to estimate the budget impact of introducing tapinarof to a U.S. Medicaid plan for AD treatment and measure the financial value of tapinarof’s treatment-free periods.
METHODS: A budget impact model with a 2-year time horizon was developed to compare formulary budgets with and without tapinarof. Group-specific data (new and chronic pediatric and adult patients) were used for the calculations, including published annual incidence and prevalence, age-based population estimates, and annual AD treatment utilization. Comparators included topical and systemic therapies approved and used in the U.S. Year 2 tapinarof market share was assumed to be 1.0% and taken from all comparator treatments. Avoided cost of existing treatments during a treatment-free period was calculated, where 51.9% of tapinarof patients experienced an average treatment-free period of 80 days as observed in the ADORING-3 clinical trial.
RESULTS: In a hypothetical 1-million member Medicaid plan, the model estimated that 10,122 chronic adult, 19,294 chronic pediatric, 3,749 new adult, and 7,147 new pediatric patients would receive AD treatment in a typical year, totaling 40,312 patients, with 403 receiving tapinarof in year 2. The introduction of tapinarof was associated with a net budget impact of $0.017 in year 1 and $0.028 in year 2 per member per month (PMPM). Deterministic sensitivity analysis of varying key inputs confirmed the robustness of these results. The financial value of the 80-day treatment-free period was -$0.019 PMPM in year 1 and -$0.031 PMPM in year 2.
CONCLUSIONS: Introducing tapinarof for AD treatment is associated with a minimal budget impact. Treatment-free periods provide measurable value by reducing the treatment cost to zero for an extended time period for more than half of patients.

Conference/Value in Health Info

2026-05, ISPOR 2026, Philadelphia, PA, USA

Value in Health, Volume 29, Issue S6

Code

EE412

Topic

Economic Evaluation

Topic Subcategory

Budget Impact Analysis

Disease

No Additional Disease & Conditions/Specialized Treatment Areas

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