RECEIPT OF SARS-COV2 MRNA VACCINE PRIOR TO IMMUNE CHECKPOINT INHIBITOR THERAPY ASSOCIATED WITH SIGNIFICANTLY IMPROVED OVERALL SURVIVAL ACROSS MULTIPLE METASTATIC CANCERS: RESULTS FROM A REAL-WORLD EVIDENCE STUDY

Author(s)

Joseph Tkacz, MS1, Laura C. Moore-Schiltz, PhD2, Yilin Wu, MS3;
1Inovalon, Ellicott City, MD, USA, 2Inovalon, Sr. Director, Shaker Heights, OH, USA, 3Inovalon, Bowie, MD, USA
OBJECTIVES: Preliminary evidence was generated in 2025 highlighting that SARS-Cov-2 mRNA vaccination may sensitize malignant tumors to immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs). The purpose of this study was to further investigate this relationship across a broad set of advanced cancers among patients in the U.S.
METHODS: This was a retrospective analysis of the 100% Medicare Fee-for-Service claims database spanning 1/1/2020-12/31/2023. Inclusion criteria: 1) diagnostic evidence of bladder cancer, breast cancer, gastric cancer, lung cancer, melanoma, or renal cell carcinoma, 2) diagnostic evidence of metastasis, 3) initiation of ICI therapy <12 months post-metastasis (index date), and 4) continuous enrollment for ≥12 months pre- and ≥1 day post-index. Within each malignancy, patients were segmented into two cohorts: cases: ≥1 claim for the SARS-Cov-2 mRNA vaccine in the 120 days preceding ICI therapy; controls: absence of the SARS-Cov-2 mRNA vaccine in the 120 days preceding and following ICI therapy. Kaplan-Meier estimators and Cox proportional hazards models controlling for demographic/clinical characteristics were fitted to assess survival differences between cohorts.
RESULTS: 1,772 cases and 20,239 controls qualified for the study; 56.5% male, 87.9% White, mean±SD age of 73.7±8.4. Compared to controls, cases presented significantly longer median survival times across all malignancies, with the largest difference observed between melanoma cases/controls (30.2 [95% CI: 18.7, 32.7] vs. 11.7 [11.2, 12.2] months; p<0.001). The mortality rate was significantly lower among the overall case cohort compared to controls (HR=0.74 [0.70, 0.78]; p<0.001), with gastric cancer cases (HR=0.51 [0.39, 0.66]; p<0.001) and bladder cancer cases (HR=0.53 [0.39, 0.73]; p<0.001) demonstrating the greatest reductions in 1-year mortality risk compared to controls.
CONCLUSIONS: Survival was significantly improved among advanced cancer patients initiating ICIs who previously received SARS-Cov-2 mRNA vaccination. Implications are considerable, including potential updates to oncology treatment protocols, to renewed conversations regarding mRNA technology research, which recently received a $500 million reduction in U.S. funding.

Conference/Value in Health Info

2026-05, ISPOR 2026, Philadelphia, PA, USA

Value in Health, Volume 29, Issue S6

Code

PT1

Topic

Real World Data & Information Systems

Disease

SDC: Oncology, STA: Vaccines

Your browser is out-of-date

ISPOR recommends that you update your browser for more security, speed and the best experience on ispor.org. Update my browser now

×