COMPARATIVE EFFECTIVENESS OF GLP-1RA AND SGLT2I IN PATIENTS WITH DIABETIC KIDNEY DISEASE: A TARGET TRIAL EMULATION

Author(s)

KAI-CHENG CHANG, MS1, HUI-YU CHEN, MS2, Zi-Yang Peng, MS3, Huang-tz Ou, PhD3.
1PhD student, National Cheng Kung University, Taoyuan City, Taiwan, 2Department of Pharmacy, Linkou Chang Gung Memorial Hospital, Taoyuan, Taiwan, 3National Cheng Kung University, Tainan, Taiwan.
OBJECTIVES: Diabetic kidney disease (DKD) represents a major global health burden. The novel glucose-lowering therapies, particularly glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RA) and sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT2i), have transformed the therapeutic landscape by demonstrating significant cardiorenal protective effects beyond glycemic control. However, comparative cardiovascular benefits with long-term follow-up remain limited among patients with DKD in real-world practices. We aimed to compare GLP-1RA with SGLT2i for a composite cardiovascular outcome.
METHODS: We conducted a target trial emulation using the largest electronic medical records database from seven hospitals in Taiwan. We included patients with type 2 diabetes and an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) of less than 60 mL/min/1.73 m². Patients newly receiving GLP-1RA or SGLT2i were included between January 2016 and December 2021. A composite major adverse cardiovascular event included myocardial infarction, stroke, cardiovascular death, and hospitalization for heart failure. We followed each patient until the occurrence of MACEs, loss of follow-up, or June 30, 2025, whichever came first. Inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) by propensity score was applied to make baseline balance.
RESULTS: Among 9,951 eligible patients, 1,747 initiated GLP-1RA therapy, and 5,233 initiated SGLT2i therapy. After IPTW, baseline characteristics were comparable, with a mean age of 67.7 years and a mean eGFR level of 44.3 mL/min/1.73 m². With a mean follow-up of 4.2 years, SGLT2i (HR 0.85, 95% CI: 0.79-0.90) were associated with significantly lower risk of MACEs compared with GLP-1RA based on intention-to-treatment analysis. SGLT2i also shows better clinical benefits in individual MACE events. Sensitivity analyses, including propensity score matching and alternative definitions of MACE, yield consistent results.
CONCLUSIONS: Our findings indicate that SGLT2i provide substantial cardiovascular benefits in patients with DKD. Further study is warranted to confirm our results.

Conference/Value in Health Info

2026-05, ISPOR 2026, Philadelphia, PA, USA

Value in Health, Volume 29, Issue S6

Code

P8

Topic

Clinical Outcomes

Topic Subcategory

Comparative Effectiveness or Efficacy

Disease

SDC: Diabetes/Endocrine/Metabolic Disorders (including obesity), SDC: Urinary/Kidney Disorders

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