ASSESSING SYSTEMATIC DIFFERENCES IN PHYSICIAN'S TENDENCY TO REPORT ROUNDED BLOOD PRESSURE MEASUREMENTS

Author(s)

K Jack Ishak, PhD, Director, Biostatistics1, Krista Payne, MEd, Director, HECON Study Design and Data Capture1, J. Jaime Caro, MDCM, FRCPC, FAC, President & Scientific Director2, Zeba M Khan, PhD, Head, Health Economics & Pricing Strategy3, William Daley, MD, Executive Director, Cardiovascular and Metabolism4, Robert Califf, MD, Vice Chancellor for Clinical Research and Director, Duke International Medicine Institute51Caro Research Institute, Montreal, QC, Canada; 2 Caro Research Institute, Concord, MA, USA; 3 Novartis Pharma AG, Basel, Switzerland; 4 Novartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation, Florham Park, NJ, USA; 5 Duke University Medical Center, Durham, NC, USA

OBJECTIVES: The reporting of blood pressure (BP) is known to be affected by errors due to digit preferences or rounding to the closest multiple of ten. If this occurs completely randomly, estimates of effect will be attenuated and the power of statistical tests reduced. Systematic bias can also occur if, for instance, physicians round measurements differentially for high or low risk patients. We examined this with data taken from an ongoing naturalistic study of the impact of a hypertension control education program. METHODS: Systolic and diastolic blood pressure measurements were reported by physicians at the time of enrolling hypertensive patients. We derived the distribution of the terminal digit of the measurements and compared the probability of reporting a terminal zero when the measurement was above or below the threshold of BP control (140/90 mm Hg) and by patients' baseline characteristics. RESULTS: Analyses were based on an interim cut of data on 4594 patients, of which 47.5% were male with mean age 56 years (SD=13.5). There was clear evidence of digit preference by physicians: e.g., 46.3% of systolic BP measurements ended with 0, and 43.3% were even numbers. The probability of a terminal zero was slightly higher above the systolic BP control threshold: 47.1% above vs. 44.4% below (p-value=0.09). Rounded values were also more likely for females (47.9 vs. 44.6%, p-value=0.02) and patients 65 years or older (49.7 vs. 45.2%, p=0.01), but did not differ by levels of other cardiovascular risk factors. Measurements of diastolic BP were also rounded very frequently (44.6%), but differences by patient characteristics were not significant. CONCLUSION: Physicians frequently round to the closest multiple of ten when reporting BP measurements, and do so slightly more frequently for female and older patients, and those further from the threshold defining BP control.

Conference/Value in Health Info

2007-05, ISPOR 2007, Arlington, VA, USA

Value in Health, Vol. 10, No.3 (May/June 2007)

Code

PCV62

Topic

Clinical Outcomes, Methodological & Statistical Research

Topic Subcategory

Clinical Outcomes Assessment, Modeling and simulation

Disease

Cardiovascular Disorders

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