A HEALTH ECONOMIC EVALUATION OF ASPIRIN IN THE PRIMARY PREVENTION OF CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASE
Author(s)
Mark Lamotte, MD, Scientific Director1, Lieven Annemans, PhD, Health Economist2, Thomas Evers, PhD, Head Health Economics and Outcomes Research3, Maria Kubin, MD, Head Global Health economics and outcomes research3, Shanlian Hu, PhD, Professor of Health Economics41HEDM - IMS Health, Brussels, Belgium; 2 IMS Health and Ghent University, Brussels, Belgium; 3 Bayer Healthcare AG, Wuppertal, Germany; 4 Fudan University (former Shanghai Medical University), Shanghai, shanghai, China
OBJECTIVE: Low-dose Aspirin is standard care in patients with a history of cardiovascular disease (CVD). In primary prevention the use of low-dose Aspirin is not yet fully established although meta-analyses and US and European guidelines support its use in persons at increased CVD risk. This study assessed the health-economic consequences of the use of low-dose Aspirin in the primary prevention of CVD in China. METHODS: Based on results (benefits and harms) reported in the meta-analyses of Hayden and Eidelman, a Markov model was developed to predict the cost-effectiveness of low-dose Aspirin in the primary prevention of CVD. The model consists of 5 health states: no history of CVD, history of stroke, history of myocardial infarction, history of CVD and death. A 10-year time horizon and 1-year cycles were used. Secondary prevention data were derived from the Aspirin group of the CAPRIE-study (1996). Direct costs (years 2000-2003) from the payer's perspective were used (sources: Chinese Ministry of health for acute and a Delphi-panel for follow-up costs). Effects were expressed in Life-Years (LY) and Quality-Adjusted-Life-Years (QALY). Utility data (TTO) were obtained from published data. Discounting was applied (3% on effects and costs). One-way and Probabilistic sensitivity analysis was applied. RESULTS: For subjects with a 10-year risk of coronary heart disease (CHD) of 15% the model results in a 10-year cost (±StErr) of 11,233±1,995Yuan (1,060±188€) without and 10,304±1,537Yuan (972±145€) with Aspirin. Low-dose Aspirin treatment saves on average 929±781Yuan (88±74€) per patient. LY were respectively 8.33±0.01 and 8.36±0.02, QALY 8.20±0.02 and 8.24±0.03. Monte Carlo analysis showed Aspirin-dominance in 87.1% of cases. Savings start in the fourth year. CONCLUSIONS: Administering low-dose Aspirin to individuals with a ten-year risk of CHD of 15% and more is life and cost-saving from the Chinese health care payer's perspective. Sensitivity analyses (CHD risk and bleedings) proved the results robustness.
Conference/Value in Health Info
2006-03, ISPOR Asia Pacific 2006, Shanghai, China
Code
PCV4
Topic
Economic Evaluation
Topic Subcategory
Cost-comparison, Effectiveness, Utility, Benefit Analysis
Disease
Cardiovascular Disorders