MODELING THE COST-UTILITY OF REDUCED HYPOGLYCEMIA AND WEIGHT GAIN AMONG TYPE 2 DIABETES PATIENTS NEWLY INITIATED ON BASAL INSULIN- A CASE STUDY OF DETEMIR AND NPH

Author(s)

David Cobden, MPH, MSc, Health Economic Analyst1, William Valentine, PhD, Medical Writer2, Andrew Palmer, MD, Medical Director, CEO2, Stephane Roze, MSc, Director21Novo Nordisk Inc, Princeton, NJ, USA; 2 CORE - Center for Outcomes Research, Basel, Switzerland

OBJECTIVES: To estimate clinical and economic outcomes 5 years after initiating add-on insulin detemir (IDet) or neutral protamine Hagedorn insulin (NPH) therapy among type 2 diabetes patients taking metformin ± glimepiride. METHODS: Baseline characteristics and treatment effect data were taken from a multicenter, 26-week, randomized controlled trial among insulin naïve type 2 subjects (mean HbA1c: 8.56 %; age: 60.8 years). Reductions in HbA1c were similar, though statistically significant improvements in body weight (1.6 kg difference; p<0.001) and reduction of intra-day variation of fasting plasma glucose (p<0.008) favoring IDet were observed. Additionally, risk of all hypoglycemia with IDet was 47% lower (p<0.001), and risk of nocturnal hypoglycemia was 55% lower (p<0.001). A published and validated computer simulation model of type 2 diabetes was used to project differences in quality-adjusted life expectancy (QALE) and direct medical costs (pharmacy plus complication costs) over a 5 year time horizon. Costs were taken from published sources in the US. Clinical outcomes and costs were discounted at 3% annually. Sensitivity analyses were performed. RESULTS: Initiation of IDet therapy was projected to improve QALE by 0.17±0.09 QALYs versus NPH after 5 years. Treatment with IDet was associated with slight reductions in the relative risk for major diabetes-related comorbidities. Direct medical costs were higher in the IDet treatment group than in the NPH group, leading to an ICER of $25,368 per QALY gained. Acceptability curve analysis indicated that there was a 94% probability of IDet being cost-effective versus NPH with a willingness to pay threshold of $50,000 per QALY gained. The results were most sensitive to variation in hypoglycemic event rates. CONCLUSION: Among insulin-naïve type 2 patients, initiation of IDet was estimated to improve quality-adjusted life expectancy and would be considered good value for money by commonly accepted standards in comparison to NPH.

Conference/Value in Health Info

2006-05, ISPOR 2006, Philadelphia, PA

Value in Health, Vol. 9, No.3 (May/June 2006)

Code

PDB17

Topic

Economic Evaluation

Topic Subcategory

Cost-comparison, Effectiveness, Utility, Benefit Analysis

Disease

Diabetes/Endocrine/Metabolic Disorders

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