EVALUATE THE COST-EFFECTIVE THRESHOLD OF OSTEOPOROSIS TREATMENT ON ELDERLY WOMEN IN CHINA USING DISCRETE EVENT SIMULATION MODEL
Author(s)
Ni W, Jiang Y
University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA
OBJECTIVES: Aging of the Chinese population will result in so many at risk of osteoporosis that economically efficient approaches to treat osteoporosis warrant consideration. This study evaluated the cost-effectiveness of osteoporosis treatment on senior Chinese women population. METHODS: A discrete event simulation model using age specific probabilities of hip fracture, clinical vertebral fracture, wrist fracture, humerus fracture, other fracture, costs (2015 US dollars), and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) was used to assess the cost-effectiveness of osteoporosis treatment. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was calculated. The willingness-to-pay (WTP) for a QALY in China was compared with the calculated ICER to decide the cost-effectiveness. To determine the absolute10-year hip fracture probability at which the osteoporosis treatment became cost-effective, average age-specific probabilities for all fractures were multiplied by a relative risk (RR) that was systematically varied from 0 to 10 until the WTP threshold was observed for treatment relative to no intervention. Sensitivity analyses were also performed to evaluate the impacts from WTP and annual treatment costs. RESULTS: In baseline analysis, simulated ICERs were higher than WTP threshold among Chinese women younger than 75, but much lower than WTP among the older population. Sensitivity analyses indicated that cost-effectiveness could vary due to a higher willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold or a lower annual treatment costs. A 30% increase in WTP or a 30% reduction in annual treatment costs will make osteoporosis treatment cost-effective for Chinese women population from 55 to 85. CONCLUSIONS: Current study provides evidence that osteoporosis treatment is cost-effective among a subpopulation of Chinese senior women. The results also indicate that the cost-effectiveness of using osteoporosis treatment is sensitive to the WTP threshold and annual treatment costs.
Conference/Value in Health Info
2016-09, ISPOR Asia Pacific 2016, Singapore
Value in Health, Vol. 19, No. 7 (November 2016)
Code
PMS10
Topic
Economic Evaluation
Topic Subcategory
Cost-comparison, Effectiveness, Utility, Benefit Analysis
Disease
Musculoskeletal Disorders