FACTORS THAT NEGATIVELY INFLUENCE THE PREDICTION OF WARFARIN STABLE DOSE WHEN EMPLOYING A GENOTYPE-GUIDED APPROACH

Author(s)

Lee W1, Chumnumwat S1, Duarte J1, Gratie D1, Galanter WL1, Walton SM1, Krishnan JA1, Bauman JL1, Cavallari LH2, Nutescu EA1
1University of Illinois at Chicago, Chicago, IL, USA, 2University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, USA

OBJECTIVES: Genotype-guided therapy has been demonstrated to enhance the accuracy of warfarin dosing. However, factors that limit the predictive accuracy of this approach have not been evaluated in a heterogeneous population.  This study identified patient characteristics and clinical factors that contributed to poor prediction of a warfarin therapeutic dose when using a genotyped-guided approach. METHODS: This was a prospective observational study of patients managed by the University of Illinois Hospital and Health Sciences System Pharmacogenetics Service who have attained a warfarin therapeutic dose. The primary outcome was a large dose deviation (>20%) between the genotype-guided predicted dose and the actual warfarin therapeutic dose.  Variables examined included patient demographics, interacting medications, comorbidities, genotype information, baseline international normalized ratio , and reason for anticoagulation. Multivariate logistic regression was used to estimate the odds ratio (OR) for a large dose deviation. RESULTS: Of the 146 consecutive patients enrolled, 23.3% were Hispanics, 54.1% were African American, and the mean age was 54.2±17.9 years.  Fifty-three percent of the study cohort had a large dose deviation. After adjusting for potential confounders, being middle aged (41-65 vs. 18-40 years) and Hispanic (vs. Whites and Asians) had a 4.15-fold (95%CI 1.24-13.95, p=0.021) and 7.58-fold (95%CI 1.69-33.93, p=0.008) increased odds for a large dose deviation, respectively.  Patients who took warfarin for thrombosis prophylaxis versus treatment were 3.2-fold more likely to have a large dose deviation (95%CI 1.14-8.99, p=0.027).  In addition, patients who required a high warfarin maintenance dose (>7.5mg/day) versus average dose (3-7.5 mg/day) were at an elevated risk (adjusted OR 5.21, 95%CI 1.30-20.78, p=0.019) of having a large dose deviation. CONCLUSIONS: Our results highlight factors that might contribute to poor prediction of warfarin dosing using a genotype-guided approach and suggest that methods to refine dose prediction are needed for under-studied patient populations, including Hispanics and patients receiving warfarin for thrombosis prophylaxis.

Conference/Value in Health Info

2015-05, ISPOR 2015, Philadelphia, PA, USA

Value in Health, Vol. 18, No. 3 (May 2015)

Code

PCV40

Topic

Epidemiology & Public Health

Disease

Cardiovascular Disorders

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