A COST-EFFECTIVENESS ANALYSIS OF FIRST LINE INDUCTION AND MAINTENANCE TREATMENT SEQUENCES IN NON-SQUAMOUS NON-SMALL CELL LUNG CANCER (NSCLC) IN THE U.S
Author(s)
Kumar G1, Woods B1, Winfree KB2, Boye ME2, Hess LM2, Bryden PA3, Koustenis A2, Treat J2
1ICON Health Economics, Oxford, UK, 2Eli Lilly and Company, Indianapolis, IN, USA, 3University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
OBJECTIVES: Clinicians treating patients with advanced NSCLC have a range of options for care. The objective of this study was to develop a cost-effectiveness (CE) model to compare induction-maintenance sequences approved for use in the U.S. for the treatment of advanced non-squamous NSCLC given the absence of direct head-to-head trials. METHODS: The modelled regimens that were licensed in the United States included pemetrexed+cisplatin followed by (→) pemetrexed; pemetrexed+cisplatin→best supportive care (BSC); gemcitabine+cisplatin→BSC; gemcitabine+cisplatin→erlotinib; gemcitabine+cisplatin→pemetrexed; and paclitaxel+carboplatin+bevacizumab→bevacizumab. Treatment effects of induction and maintenance on survival endpoints were obtained using data from a previous network meta-analysis. Decision analytic modelling was used to synthesise the treatment effect and baseline risk estimates for the induction and maintenance treatment sequences. The CE model was structured using an area-under-the-curve approach, costs and benefits were discounted at 3.5% per annum, and probabilistic and one-way sensitivity analyses were conducted to evaluate model parameters. RESULTS: All active maintenance therapy-containing regimens, with the exception of gemcitabine+cisplatin→erlotinib, were more costly than induction-only regimens. Gemcitabine+cisplatin→BSC was the baseline comparator and established the cost effective threshold range of $0 to $121,425. The respective incremental costs per life year (LY) were $121,425, $148,994, and $191,270 for gemcitabine+cisplatin→erlotinib versus gemcitabine+cisplatin→BSC, pemetrexed+cisplatin→BSC versus gemcitabine+cisplatin→erlotinib, and pemetrexed+cisplatin→pemetrexed versus pemetrexed+cisplatin→BSC. Other regimens were dominated (paclitaxel+carboplatin+bevacizumab→bevacizumab) or extendedly dominated (gemcitabine+cisplatin→pemetrexed). Sensitivity analyses demonstrated that efficacy data and the method of extrapolating survival had the greatest impact on the cost-effectiveness results. For non-dominated regimens, the cost-effectiveness acceptability frontier showed that gemcitabine+cisplatin→BSC, pemetrexed+cisplatin→BSC, and pemetrexed+cisplatin→pemetrexed had the greatest probabilities of cost-effectiveness over the following threshold ranges: $0-$124,000/LY; $124,000-$220,000/LY; and above $220,000/LY, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Depending on the specific cost-effectiveness threshold used by a decision maker, the cost-effective treatment sequence will be gemcitabine+cisplatin→BSC, gemcitabine+cisplatin→erlotinib, pemetrexed+cisplatin→BSC, or pemetrexed+cisplatin→pemetrexed. Paclitaxel+carboplatin+bevacizumab→bevacizumab and gemcitabine+cisplatin→pemetrexed were dominated or extendedly dominated and thus not cost-effective when ranking these comparators.
Conference/Value in Health Info
2014-05, ISPOR 2014, Palais des Congres de Montreal
Value in Health, Vol. 17, No. 3 (May 2014)
Code
PCN85
Topic
Economic Evaluation
Topic Subcategory
Cost-comparison, Effectiveness, Utility, Benefit Analysis
Disease
Oncology