TIME-ON-THERAPY FOR ATYPICAL ANTIPSYCHOTICS IN A MARKOV COHORT ANALYSIS

Author(s)

Rajagopalan K1, O'Day K2, Meyer K2, Pikalov III AA31Sunovion Pharmaceuticals, Inc., Marlborough, MA, USA, 2Xcenda, Palm Harbor, FL, USA, 3Sunovion Pharmaceuticals, Inc., Fort Lee, NJ, USA

OBJECTIVES: To demonstrate a unique approach to modeling long-term time-on-therapy and cardiovascular disease (CVD) outcomes of patients with schizophrenia treated with atypical antipsychotics (AAPs). METHODS: A 5-year Markov cohort analysis among adult patients with schizophrenia was undertaken to compare time-on-therapy and CVD outcome differences lurasidone, generic-olanzapine, aripiprazole, quetiapine, and ziprasidone. Modeled health states were: patients on initial AAP; patients switched to a second composite-AAP; and patients on clozapine after failing a second composite-AAP. The composite-AAP health state simulated frequent treatment switching and was operationalized by averaging outcomes, costs, and discontinuation rates (for transition probabilities) of the AAPs. Patients discontinuing composite-AAP due to lack of efficacy were switched to clozapine. Time-on-therapy was modeled using sub-states based on time of switching. Baseline characteristics of the modeled cohort, data for discontinuation rates, and average weight change were obtained from CATIE, a comparative clinical trial of lurasidone vs quetiapine XR, and an open-label study comparing aripiprazole and olanzapine. Relative risk of diabetes obtained from a retrospective analysis predicted CVD events using Framingham BMI risk equations. RESULTS: Over 5 years, patient time-on-therapy for the initial-AAP, composite-AAP, and clozapine, respectively, was 0.85, 3.13, 1.01 years (lurasidone); 1.00, 2.98, 1.02 (generic-olanzapine); 0.51, 3.41, 1.08 (aripiprazole); 0.47, 3.45, 1.08 (quetiapine); and 0.54, 3.37, 1.09 (ziprasidone). In a 10,000 patient cohort, there were 407, 434, 415, 416, and 412 CVD events, respectively, in the lurasidone, generic-olanzapine, aripiprazole, quetiapine, and ziprasidone arms. CONCLUSIONS: This long-term Markov cohort model simulates multiple treatment switches by using a composite health state from sub-states and also enabled outcome assessment of time-dependent patient characteristics, such as CVD events. The results were consistent with published Markov micro-simulation models showing that lurasidone and generic-olanzapine had favorable discontinuation rates and that lurasidone and ziprasidone had fewer CVD events. This analysis represents an effective alternative for modeling cohort-level outcomes.

Conference/Value in Health Info

2012-06, ISPOR 2012, Washington, D.C., USA

Value in Health, Vol. 15, No. 4 (June 2012)

Code

PMH86

Topic

Methodological & Statistical Research

Topic Subcategory

Modeling and simulation

Disease

Mental Health

Explore Related HEOR by Topic


Your browser is out-of-date

ISPOR recommends that you update your browser for more security, speed and the best experience on ispor.org. Update my browser now

×