THE IMPORTANCE OF SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS IN ASSESSING CLINICAL AND ECONOMIC IMPACT OF NATIONAL IMMUNIZATION PROGRAMS- AN EXAMPLE OF SLOVENIA

Author(s)

Hren R1, Delgleize E2
1GlaxoSmithKline d.o.o., Družba Za Promet S Farmacevtskimi Izdelki, Ljubljana, Slovenia, 22GlaxoSmithKline Vaccines, Wavre, Belgium

OBJECTIVES To demonstrate the role of sensitivity analysis (SA) in assessing clinical and economic impact of national immunization programs. METHODS We applied our recent cost-effectiveness model of pneumococcal vaccination to the local data in Slovenia, which is particularly notable for high incidence of community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) and acute otitis media (AOM). In the model, we followed the cohort of 21,938 Slovenian infants over their lifetime and compared two pneumococcal vaccine (PCV) options (PHiD-CV and PCV-13) with each other and with a “no vaccination” strategy (NVS) from a payer perspective, both at current and parity prices. The model simulated vaccine protection against both pneumococcal diseases (invasive, CAP, AOM) and AOM related to non-typeable Heamophilus influenzae (NTHi). We performed various sensitivity analyses, including probabilistic Monte Carlo simulations by employing parameter values derived from clinical trials and post-marketing surveillance data. RESULTS SA has shown that PHiD-CV vaccine dominated PCV-13 vaccine across the range of parameters, both at current and parity prices, and robustness of domination was further confirmed by more than 95% out of 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, where PHiD-CV dominated PCV-13. SA when comparing each vaccine with NVS showed that at current prices reduction of CAP, AOM, and myringotomy-procedure incidence by 50% in children younger than 10 years increased incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) from €4,237 per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) to €18,917/QALY for PHiD-CV and from €16,049/QALY to €35,040/QALY for PCV-13. At current prices, vaccination with PHiD-CV dominated NVS when at least 17.5% of parents of sick children would take a paid leave, which – in the Slovenian jurisdiction – constitute direct costs; in comparison, corresponding ICER for vaccination with PCV-13 vs. NVS was €12,306/QALY. CONCLUSIONS Both base case and SA model findings suggest that Slovenian authorities would save resources by implementing national immunization program of infants with PHiD-CV as a vaccine of choice.

Conference/Value in Health Info

2014-11, ISPOR Europe 2014, Amsterdam, The Netherlands

Value in Health, Vol. 17, No. 7 (November 2014)

Code

PIN72

Topic

Economic Evaluation

Topic Subcategory

Cost-comparison, Effectiveness, Utility, Benefit Analysis

Disease

Infectious Disease (non-vaccine)

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