MULTIPLE DECISION CRITERIA FOR ASSESSING AN INCREMENTAL COST-EFFECTIVENESS RATIO OF EXPENSIVE HEALTH TECHNOLOGIES
Author(s)
Kamae I, Yamabe K, Sugimoto T
The University of Tokyo, Graduate School of Public Policy, Tokyo, Japan
Presentation Documents
OBJECTIVES: To develop a new method that naturally extends the UK NICE way of single-threshold for incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER). It aims to provide multiple decision criteria for assessing an ICER of expensive health technologies such as molecular-targeted cancer drugs and regenerative medicine products. METHODS: We took a theoretical approach, provided that the cost (C)-effectiveness(E) function, C = f (E), is known regarding the treatment alternatives for a disease area, given two points Pb and Ps plotted with a pair of C and E on the C-E plane, where Pb represents the best comparator, and Ps as the second best for a new technology X located at the point Px (ex(effectiveness; known), cx(cost; assumed)). At first, given a single threshold of ICER, the "expensiveness" in the C-E function was defined using a tangent/derivative method (poster presentation PRM119 by Kamae I, et.al. in ISPOR Montreal 2014). Second, we estimated three benchmarks based on the C-E function: 1) the ICER of Pb to Ps, 2) the tangent at Pb, 3) the tangent at the point on the C-E curve which intersects with the vertical line at the point: (E, C)=(ex, 0). Then the magnitude relationship was examined between the three benchmarks and the ICER of the technology X defined by the slope of the line connecting Px with Pb RESULTS: Multiple decision criteria at six levels were identified and formulated as for acceptance of the "expensive" cost-effectiveness of a new health technology: 1) unconditional acceptance (simple dominance), 2) preferred (extended dominance), 3) less preferred, 4) minimally preferred, 5) not preferred, but negotiable, and 6) cannot accept. Example calculations clarified how the theory works in practical setting. CONCLUSIONS: Our approach offers multiple decision criteria to assess expensive health technologies as a natural extension beyond the NICE way of single-threshold assessment.
Conference/Value in Health Info
2014-11, ISPOR Europe 2014, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
Value in Health, Vol. 17, No. 7 (November 2014)
Code
PRM246
Topic
Methodological & Statistical Research
Topic Subcategory
Confounding, Selection Bias Correction, Causal Inference
Disease
Multiple Diseases