BUDGET IMPACT ANALYSIS OF EVEROLIMUS FOR THE TREATMENT OF HORMONE RECEPTOR POSITIVE, HUMAN EPIDERMAL GROWTH FACTOR RECEPTOR-2 NEGATIVE (HER2-) ADVANCED BREAST CANCER IN KAZAKHSTAN
Author(s)
Lewis L1, Taylor M1, Suriya Y2, Kuanysh N2, Kaldygul S2, Ramil A2
1York Health Economics Consortium, York, UK, 2Kazakh Research Institute of Oncology and Radiology, Almaty, Kazakhstan
OBJECTIVES: To determine the budget impact of everolimus (in combination with letrozole/anastrozole) as a second-line treatment for ER+ HER2-negative advanced and metastatic breast cancer in postmenopausal women in Kazakhstan. METHODS: A cumulative cohort model was developed to estimate the five-year costs associated with introducing everolimus to the Kazakh healthcare system, with two scenarios: “with everolimus” and “without everolimus”. Treatment-specific PFS and OS data were extrapolated from trial data using a Weibull function. It was assumed that data from the BOLERO-2 trial (everolimus+exemestane vs exemestane alone) were representative of everolimus+letrozole/anastrozole and letrozole/anastrozole used in the model. Per-patient drug, health state, adverse event costs were calculated. The per-patient costs were multiplied by the number of patients expected to receive each treatment according to predicted market share, which was split between everolimus+letrozole/anastrozole, letrozole/anastrozole alone, chemotherapy and tamoxifen. RESULTS: The within-trial data from BOLERO-2 reported 17 month OS of 74.7% and 67.6% for everolimus+exemestane and exemestane alone, respectively. The utilities reported in BOLERO-2 (data available up to week 78) were 0.67 and 0.70 for everolimus+exemestane and exemestane alone, respectively. The five year results demonstrate that the introduction of everolimus leads to a 12% increase in drug costs, a 2% reduction in pre-progression health state costs, a 1% increase in post-progression health state costs and a 2% reduction in adverse event costs. The net result is a 2% increase in total costs, from T16.97 billion to T17.389 billion over a period of five years. CONCLUSIONS: The analysis estimated that, if everolimus were to be introduced to the Kazakh healthcare market for the treatment of ER+ HER2- advanced breast cancer, there would be a small impact upon overall healthcare expenditure. An increase in drug acquisitions costs was largely offset by a reduction in other healthcare costs due to improved disease management.
Conference/Value in Health Info
2014-11, ISPOR Europe 2014, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
Value in Health, Vol. 17, No. 7 (November 2014)
Code
PCN44
Topic
Economic Evaluation
Topic Subcategory
Budget Impact Analysis
Disease
Oncology