CALIBRATING BAYESIAN MULTIPLE TREATMENT COMPARISON META-ANALYSIS WITH MULTIPLE COST-EFFECTIVENESS ACCEPTABILITY CURVES

Author(s)

Thorlund K1, Mills E21McMaster University, Hamilton, ON, Canada, 2University of Ottawa, Ottawa, ON, Canada

OBJECTIVES: To investigate the merits and challenges with calibrating Bayesian multiple treatment comparison meta-analysis (MTC) with cost-effectiveness (CE) analysis, in particular, construction of multiple cost-effectiveness acceptability curves and cost-effectiveness frontiers. METHODS: We calibrated a Bayesian MTC of pharmacotherapies for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease with a Bayesian CE markov model. We simulated 10000 observations and derived multiple cost-effectiveness acceptability curves for each of the treatments as well as the cost-effectiveness frontier. We separately repeated the analyses based on pair-wise meta-analysis estimates of treatment effectiveness. We compared the two approaches with respect to precision and inferred reasonable CE thresholds. RESULTS: The MTC approach generally yielded higher precision, and thus, had higher certainty surrounding the inferred CE thresholds. This was especially the case for comparisons with treatments in the extended dominance region, but close to the cost-effective treatments. CONCLUSIONS: Calibration of Bayesian multiple treatment comparison meta-analysis and Bayesian multiple cost-effectiveness acceptability curves appears to improve precision compared with the conventional approach.

Conference/Value in Health Info

2012-11, ISPOR Europe 2012, Berlin, Germany

Value in Health, Vol. 15, No. 7 (November 2012)

Code

CL3

Topic

Economic Evaluation

Topic Subcategory

Cost/Cost of Illness/Resource Use Studies

Disease

Respiratory-Related Disorders

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