VALIDATION OF THE UPDATED CHARLSON COMORBIDITY INDEX (CCI) FOR USE IN PATIENTS WITH DIABETES OR ASTHMA- A COMPARISON STUDY

Author(s)

Cheng LI, Rascati KLUniversity of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX, USA

OBJECTIVES: To validate the recently updated Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) for the prediction of healthcare utilization and to compare its predictive power in patients with diabetes or asthma. METHODS: Data were retrieved from the Medical Expenditure Panel Survey (MEPS) Panel 12 (2007-2008) for this retrospective cohort study. The original CCI (CCI-1) and updated CCI (CCI-2) scores were calculated for patients who had diabetes or asthma in 2007. Adjusted R2 from linear regression models were used for the estimation of log-transformed healthcare expenditures (COST) in 2008. C statistics from logistic regression models were used to compare the predictive power of the risk of hospitalizations  (≥ 1 admission), risk of emergency department visits (≥ 1 visit), and high expenditures (≥ 90th percentile of COST) in 2008. RESULTS: 833 diabetic patients and 704 asthmatic patients were included in the study. The diabetes cohort had a mean age of 59.7 years (SD: 15.3), and 54% were female; the asthma cohort had a mean age of 37.8 years (SD: 23.6), and 59% were female. In the linear regressions, the CCI-2 explained more variance in COST in diabetic patients than in asthmatic patients (adjusted R2 = 17.4% vs. 14.1%), adjusting for demographics. The CCI-2 was a better predictor of high COST (c = 0.881 vs. 0.816) and the risk of hospitalization (c = 0.713 vs. 0.682) but a poorer predictor of the risk for an emergency department visit (c = 0.583 vs. 0.653) in the diabetes cohort than in the asthma cohort. In both cohorts, the CCI-2 (c = 0.583 to 0.881) exhibited consistently better predictive power than the CCI-1 (c = 0.576 to 0.839). CONCLUSIONS: The predictive power of CCI varies depending on the outcomes of interest in patients with diabetes or asthma. The updated CCI showed improved predictive performance compared to the original CCI.

Conference/Value in Health Info

2011-11, ISPOR Europe 2011, Madrid, Spain

Value in Health, Vol. 14, No. 7 (November 2011)

Code

PDB80

Topic

Methodological & Statistical Research

Topic Subcategory

Confounding, Selection Bias Correction, Causal Inference

Disease

Diabetes/Endocrine/Metabolic Disorders, Respiratory-Related Disorders

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