MODELING THE LONG TERM CLINICAL OUTCOMES AND HEALTH CARE COST IMPACT OF INITIATING TREATMENT WITH ATAZANAVIR/R COMPARED WITH DARUNAVIR/R, LOPINAVIR/R AND EFAVIRENZ FOR HIV-1 INFECTED TREATMENT-NAÏVE PATIENTS- COUNTRY RESULTS FOR ITALY, SPAI ...

Author(s)

Thuresson PO1, Verheggen B1, Heeg B1, Aldir I2, Carrasco J3, Didoni G4, Mesa OA5, Lescrauwaet B61Pharmerit International, Rotterdam, Netherlands, 2Hospital Egas Moniz, Lisboa, Portugal, 3Bristol-Myers Squibb, Paço de Arcos, Portugal, 4Bristol Meyer Squibb

OBJECTIVES: To estimate the cost and effects of initiating treatment with atazanavir/r (ATV/r) compared to darunavir/r (DRV/r), lopinavir/r (LPV/r) and efavirenz (EFV) in treatment-naïve HIV-1 patients in Italy(I), Spain(S), Portugal(P) and UK. METHODS: HIV-disease progression is modeled using a micro-simulation model. Health states are a function of HIV-RNA, CD4+cells, AIDS defining events (ADEs), and comorbidities. At model entry patients receive either ATV/r, LPV/r, DRV/r, or EFV with a treatment backbone. Treatment-sequences are modelled following treatment discontinuation due to virological failure, adverse events, resistance, or treatment related co-morbidities. Country-specific patterns for HIV related drug use were applied to estimate specific treatment sequences; maximized at 8 treatment lines after which patient were assumed to be untreated. Efficacy and tolerability inputs of first line treatments were derived from a Mixed-Treatment-Comparison, supplemented by published literature and product-SPCs for remaining drug specific data for efficacy, tolerability and safety. Occurrence of (non)-AIDS defining malignancies was linked to current CD4+cell count and independent of therapy. Cost estimates were based on country specific sources. A 25-year time-horizon was chosen for the base-case analyses. A payer’s perspective was chosen and country-specific discount rates were applied.   RESULTS: Across countries, total costs per patient who started with ATV/r ranged between €126,947(I) and €154,285(P). Predicted incremental costs of ATV/r versus comparators ranged between -€27,004 (S) versus LPV/r and -€13,165 (P) versus EFV. Estimated incremental QALYs of ATV/r versus comparators varied from -0.68(UK) versus EFV to 0.78(UK) versus DRV/r. CONCLUSIONS: The value of initiation with ATV/r in terms of durable viral suppression and favourable side-effect profile was most prominent in Spain. In general, starting with ATV/r is suggested to be a cost-effective treatment strategy for HIV-1 treatment-naïve patients in most of the country-specific comparisons made.

Conference/Value in Health Info

2011-11, ISPOR Europe 2011, Madrid, Spain

Value in Health, Vol. 14, No. 7 (November 2011)

Code

PIN73

Topic

Economic Evaluation

Topic Subcategory

Cost-comparison, Effectiveness, Utility, Benefit Analysis

Disease

Infectious Disease (non-vaccine)

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