COST-EFFECTIVENESS OF THE NEW GUIDELINES FOR THE PREVENTION OF MOTHER TO CHILD TRANSMISSION OF HIV IN UGANDA

Author(s)

Kuznik A, Lamorde M, Semeere A, Castelnuovo B, Hermans S, Auerbach B, Ssewankambo F, Ssennono M, Sempa J, Mpanga Sebuyira L, Manabe YCInfectious Diseases Institute, Kampala, Uganda

OBJECTIVES: In Uganda, 91,000 children are born annually to HIV-positive mothers, approximately 25,000 of which become HIV-infected. New guidelines recommend the use of combination antiretroviral therapy (cART) to prevent vertical transmission. We evaluate the cost-effectiveness of more costly cART relative to other or no preventative therapies. METHODS: Currently, about 48.4% of HIV-positive pregnant women do not receive any preventive therapies and therefore have a 40% risk of transmitting HIV to their child during pregnancy or breastfeeding. This risk can be reduced to 25.8% by single dose nevirapine (sdNVP; Cost: US$0.06), to 17.4% by dual therapy (3TC/AZT; Cost: US$16 for 7 weeks) and to 3.8% by cART (Cost: US$470 for 18 months). At CD4 counts below 350 cells/µl, lifetime cART is indicated for the mother (Cost: US$ 6,883), which reduces future transmission risk in an additional 3.49 pregnancies. The model calculates disability adjusted life years (DALY’s) between therapies based on differences in HIV-transmission to children, which results in shortened life-expectancy. All costs and benefits are discounted at 3% annually. RESULTS: Replacing sdNVP and 3TC/AZT with cART could reduce annual HIV transmissions by 7,500 cases. Preventing one infection averts 23.7 DALY’s. Hence, DALY’s averted using 18 months cART versus sdNVP, 3TC/AZT, and no therapies are 5.21, 3.22, and 8.58, and yield a cost/DALY averted of US$46, US$99, and US$34, respectively. The corresponding figures for lifetime cART are 19.20, 11.87, and 31.60, resulting in a cost/DALY averted of US$205, US$354 and US$172, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Using the 1 time per capita GDP threshold (US$460), cART as proposed in the new Ugandan guidelines is highly cost-effective relative to other drugs and would generate additional value if treatment could reach greater numbers of women. It remains highly cost-effective even if treatment is continued over the patients’ lifetimes. It is imperative that these guidelines are rapidly implemented.

Conference/Value in Health Info

2011-11, ISPOR Europe 2011, Madrid, Spain

Value in Health, Vol. 14, No. 7 (November 2011)

Code

PIN57

Topic

Economic Evaluation

Topic Subcategory

Cost-comparison, Effectiveness, Utility, Benefit Analysis

Disease

Infectious Disease (non-vaccine)

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