A LONG TERM COST-EFFECTIVENESS ANALYSIS MODEL FOR SMOKING CESSATION IN KOREA
Author(s)
Jung youn Bae, BA, Researcher1, Hyun Jin Song, MS, Researcher1, Keun Ho Joe, PHD, Professor2, Cheol Hwan Kim, PhD, Researcher3, Hye Ryung Song, MD, Researcher3, Gun Chun Ryu, PHD, Researcher4, Dae Jin Kim, PhD, Researcher5, Eui-Kyung Lee, phD, Professor11Sook Myung Women's University, Seoul, South Korea; 2 Department of Medicine, EulJi University, Seoul, South Korea; 3 Family Medicine of Seoul Paik Hospital, seoul, South Korea; 4 Korea Institute for Health and Social Affairs, seoul, South Korea; 5 The catholic university of Korea, Holy family hospital, seoul, South Korea
Objective: Smoking influences several acute and chronic diseases within a population which might generate high medical costs in Korean health care. The aim of this study is to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of Varenicline compared with other smoking cessation interventions: bupropion, NRT(Nicotine Replacement Therapy), and unaided cessation (willpower) in smokers who attempt to quit. Methods: A Markov model was developed from a societal perspective to estimate long-term health benefit, smoking cessation cost, and co-morbidity-related cost. The model simulates cost and outcomes in a hypothetical cohort of current smokers attempting to quit during their lifetime with a 5% discount rate. The Markov cycle length is one year. The model includes six-potential co-morbidities: chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, ischemic heart disease, stroke, lung cancer, liver cancer, and gastric cancer. Transition probabilities were obtained from Korean epidemiologic data, whereas non-smoking rates after treatment, smoking relapses rates, and relative risk of above diseases were based on the published literature. Quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) were estimated as an effectiveness measure. Resource utilization and costs were calculated with public institutional data. One-way sensitivity analyses were performed on crucial parameters (discount rate, time horizons, mortality rate, costs, and utility weight). Results: As incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) for varenicline & bupropion is lower than that of bupropion & NRT, bupropion is subject to extended dominance. With the exclusion of bupropion, ICER for vareniciline vs. NRT was analyzed as US$5096 per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) during the life time. The results of sensitivity analysis showed quite stable across most of the included parameters. Conclusion: Varenicline costs US$5096 more to gain an additional QALY compared to NRT. Even though the threshold for ICER is not yet decided in Korea, varenicline can be regarded as a cost-effective alternative in the long term for the management of smoking cessation based on the UK & Australian experience.
Conference/Value in Health Info
2008-05, ISPOR 2008, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
Value in Health, Vol. 11, No. 3 (May/June 2008)
Code
PRS20
Topic
Economic Evaluation
Topic Subcategory
Cost-comparison, Effectiveness, Utility, Benefit Analysis
Disease
Respiratory-Related Disorders
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