COST EFFECTIVENESS ANALYSIS OF ANASTROZOLE VERSUS TAMOXIFEN IN ADJUVANT THERAPY FOR EARLY STAGE BREAST CANCER BASED ON THE 100-MONTH ANALYSIS OF THE ATAC TRIAL FROM A GERMAN PERSPECTIVE

Author(s)

Kreif N1, Benedict Á2, Lux MP3, Wöckel A4, Klevesath MB51United BioSource--Europe, London, United Kingdom, 2United BioSource Corporation, Budapest, Hungary, 3University of Erlangen, Erlangen, Germany, 4University of Ulm, Ulm , Germany, 5AstraZeneca GmbH, Wedel, GA, Germany

OBJECTIVES: Approximately 8.33 years of randomized clinical trial data is now available from the Arimidex, Tamoxifen Alone or in Combination (ATAC) trial, confirming that the advantage of anastrozole in recurrence free survival compared with tamoxifen in hormone receptor-positive (HR+) postmenopausal (PM) early breast cancer (EBC) patients is preserved even after stopping treatment at 5 years. Using the long-term outcome data, this study estimated the cost-utility of anastrozole versus tamoxifen from a German health service perspective. METHODS: A semi-Markov model was adapted to include the 100-month clinical trial efficacy data. Kaplan-Meier curves on time to recurrence (TTR) from the ATAC trial were fitted by survival regression including a treatment coefficient. Treatment specific progression rates were extrapolated to 10 years, and were assumed equivalent based on pooled treatment arms thereafter. Survival probabilities after recurrence were identical for all treatments, based on German national mortality data.  Published literature and physician survey provided data on resource use and unit costs and utilities. Probabilistic analysis was carried out to obtain incremental cost-effectiveness ratios and cost-effectiveness acceptability curves. Sensitivity analyses were conducted. RESULTS: Over 25 years anastrozole patients gained 0.32 QALYs at a cost of €6,819 per patient, resulting in an ICER of €21,069 (95%CI: €12,567-€46,604) per QALY gained, vs tamoxifen. With a >90% probability the ICER was below €30,000/QALY. The results were robust to plausible changes in parameters tested in sensitivity analyses, including the hazard ratio for TTR. CONCLUSIONS: This is the first cost-utility analysis of an aromatase inhibitor based on extended follow-up data. Anastrozole’s carryover treatment effect beyond therapy completion at 5 years translates into favourable cost-effectiveness results against tamoxifen for PM HR+ EBC women from a German national health insurance perspective.

Conference/Value in Health Info

2009-10, ISPOR Europe 2009, Paris, France

Value in Health, Vol. 12, No. 7 (October 2009)

Code

PCN119

Topic

Economic Evaluation

Topic Subcategory

Cost-comparison, Effectiveness, Utility, Benefit Analysis

Disease

Oncology

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