TRANSLATING THE REDUCTION OF GLYCATED HEMOGLOBIN INTO ECONOMIC AND CLINICAL CONSEQUENCES OF PATIENTS WITH HIGH CARDIOVASCULAR RISK. AN INCIDENCE MODEL FOR CHILEAN POPULATION WITH TYPE 2 DIABETES
Author(s)
Rojas R1, Munoz P1, Tabilo C2
1Fractal EDM, Santiago, Chile, 2Universidad de Antofagasta, Antofagasta, Chile
OBJECTIVES: To estimate the potential reduction of complications and cost per year for type 2 diabetes patients with high cardiovascular risk, from the perspective of Chilean public health system. METHODS: A microsimulation economic model at population level, based in the evidence reported in the United Kingdom Prospective Diabetes Study (UKPDS 35 and 82) was built in TreeAge Pro 2018. Key parameters of the model were baseline age and glycated hemoglobin, which were extracted from a sample of type 2 diabetic patients with high cardiovascular risk. Resource usage was extracted from public system, representing the Fondo Nacional de Salud (FONASA). A potential reduction of glycated hemoglobin of 1%, 2%, and 3% was simulated in order to estimate the reduction of complications and expected cost per year for Chilean health system. RESULTS: By reducing a 1% of glycated hemoglobin, there is an expected reduction in disease related complications equivalent to 21.02% in amputations, 20.64% in diabetic retinopathy, 18,26% in heart failure, 16.99% in myocardial infarction, 18.26% in the development of advanced stage of chronic kidney disease, and 11.50% in stroke, all of them related to diabetes complications. The expected reduction in cost for public health system for the sub group of high cardiovascular risk is 3 USD million per year (per 100,000 diabetic patients). CONCLUSIONS: Reduction of glycated hemoglobin can be translated in terms of avoided complications and avoided cost per year, being a very useful tool for health systems to take into account in the design of health policy.
Conference/Value in Health Info
2019-05, ISPOR 2019, New Orleans, LA, USA
Value in Health, Volume 22, Issue S1 (2019 May)
Code
PDB34
Topic
Economic Evaluation, Epidemiology & Public Health
Topic Subcategory
Cost/Cost of Illness/Resource Use Studies
Disease
Diabetes/Endocrine/Metabolic Disorders