Financial Feasibility Study of Incremental Modified Drugs Development by Domestic Pharmaceutical Industry

Author(s)

Sakulbumrungsil R1, Laichapis M2, Udomaksorn K3, Kessomboon N4, Nerapusee O1, Hongthong C4, Poonpolsub S5
1Chulalongkorn University, Bangkok, Thailand, 2Prince of Songkla University, Songkhla, 90, Thailand, 3Prince of Songkla University, Songkhla, Thailand, 4Khon Kaen University, Khon Kaen, Thailand, 5Food and Drug Administration Thailand, Nonthaburi, Thailand

BACKGROUND: Thailand's pharmaceutical industry aims for self-sufficiency by focusing on the research, development, and production of vaccines, drugs, and biologics as per the National Strategic Master Plan. However, the industry lacks research capabilities, and imported drugs have been more valuable than domestic ones since 2002. Thai manufacturers mainly produce generic drugs and require more research on incrementally modified drugs (IMDs) to enhance self-sufficiency.

OBJECTIVES: This study assesses the financial feasibility of developing a dosage form for IMDs, aiding policy and investment decisions.

METHODS: This study employed a mixed-method approach and encompassed four main stages: selecting suitable types of IMDs, devising investment models tailored to the local pharmaceutical industry, identifying cost structures and estimating expenses associated with investment in the IMD manufacturing sector, and conducting a financial feasibility analysis of IMDs, which included sensitivity analysis and scenario analysis.

RESULTS: A feasibility analysis conducted on nasal spray demonstrated a preference for its implementation within the local pharmaceutical industry. The study utilized a distinctive financial model to assess the payback period.The research and development of IMDs nasal spray took about 13 years, longer than the development of new generic drugs. Factors such as formulation and analytical method development, as well as the need for non-clinical and clinical studies, contributed to the extended duration. Developing new drugs from existing chemical drugs incurred higher fixed costs compared to new generics.(approximately 19.80-19.85 million USD) The majority of costs and time were dedicated to clinical trials due to the change in administration route, affecting pharmacological effects. Feasibility relied on factors like payback period, business nature, drug type, and research capabilities.

CONCLUSIONS: Key findings from the financial and investment analysis of IMDs in the domestic pharmaceutical industry emphasize the impact of clinical studies on costs, the importance of research duration and registration processes, drug selection in investment decisions, and market feasibility assessment.

Conference/Value in Health Info

2023-11, ISPOR Europe 2023, Copenhagen, Denmark

Value in Health, Volume 26, Issue 11, S2 (December 2023)

Code

HPR76

Topic

Health Policy & Regulatory

Topic Subcategory

Coverage with Evidence Development & Adaptive Pathways, Public Spending & National Health Expenditures, Reimbursement & Access Policy

Disease

No Additional Disease & Conditions/Specialized Treatment Areas

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